958
FXUS63 KPAH 201905
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
105 PM CST SAT DEC 20 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- COOLER TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY BEHIND A DRY COLD FRONT.
- THE CHRISTMAS WEEK WARMUP ENSUES THEREAFTER, REACHING THE 60S
BY TUESDAY, WHICH CARRIES ON THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
HOLIDAY WEEK.
- THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN IS MONDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY, WITH SMALLER CHANCES OF RAIN BY THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1235 PM CST SAT DEC 20 2025
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND
BRING A RETURN TO COOL CONDITIONS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND.
MOISTURE WITH THE FRONT LOOKS MINIMAL AND AS A RESULT DO NOT
EXPECT ANY PRECIPITATION FOR OUR AREA. CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED
WITH THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
WINDS TONIGHT WILL VEER TOWARD THE NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT AS
HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES TO THE NORTHWEST. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. WE REMAIN IN THE BASE OF
UPPER TROUGHING ON SUNDAY WITH CONTINUED COLD AIR ADVECTION
KEEPING TEMPERATURES COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S.
AS WE HEAD INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEK, DEEP LAYER RIDGING EXPANDS
ACROSS THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
ACROSS THE EASTERN US. WINDS RETURN TO THE SOUTH QUICKLY ON
MONDAY BEGINNING OUR WARM UP THAT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH CHRISTMAS. INCREASED MOISTURE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY WILL
BRING CHANCES OF RAIN TO PORTIONS OF THE REGION WITH VERY LIGHT
QPF AMOUNTS. GUIDANCE ISN'T SHOWING MUCH IF ANY SIGNAL FOR
ELEVATED INSTABILITY AS LAPSE RATES REMAIN POOR. CONDITIONS
LARGELY DRY OUT BY WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES A FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION FROM THE NORTH ALTHOUGH A FEW SHOWERS MAY
STILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR EAST.
THE STRONG SIGNAL FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUES FOR
THE WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY OF LOW TO MID 50S WILL
QUICKLY WARM INTO THE 60S TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE WARMEST DAY
OF THE WEEK CONTINUES TO BE CHRISTMAS DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S. CONFIDENCE IN THESE WARM TEMPERATURES
REMAINS HIGH WITH THE NBM INTERQUARTILE RANGES OF ONLY 2-4
DEGREES CHRISTMAS DAY IN PARTICULAR. THE WARMTH CONTINUES INTO
THE WEEKEND WITH A HINT FOR SLIGHT CHANCES OF RAIN POSSIBLE
NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1109 AM CST SAT DEC 20 2025
A DRY COLD FRONT IS SET TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY. AHEAD
OF IT, SSW WINDS WILL GUST TO 20-25 KTS. GUSTS DROP OFF THIS
EVENING WITH NORTHERLY WINDS SUSTAINED BETWEEN AROUND 5 KTS
OVERNIGHT. HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD
WITH POSSIBLY HIGHER COVERAGE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE SETTLED
JUST TO THE NORTH ON SUNDAY WITH A NORTHEAST WIND 5-10 KTS.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...AD
AVIATION...AD
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