253
FXUS63 KPAH 111824
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1224 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- MUCH COLDER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S AND LOWS TONIGHT FALLING INTO THE
20S.
- AFTER A BRIEF WARM-UP EARLY IN THE WEEK, ANOTHER SHOT OF
COLDER AIR ARRIVES MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK AND LIKELY CONTINUES
INTO NEXT WEEKEND. A FEW SMALL CHANCES (20-30%) FOR
PRECIPITATION EXIST DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1246 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
A COLD FRONT IS SLIDING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING ACCOMPANIED BY SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ALONG WITH A FEW
SNOWFLAKES. COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE ON STIFF NORTHWESTERLY
WINDS TODAY. MORNING WIND CHILLS WILL BE IN THE TEENS FOR SOME AREAS
AND WILL STRUGGLE TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING IN THE NORTH THIS AFTERNOON
AS HIGH TEMPERATURES ONLY REACH THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S. AS HIGH
PRESSURE SLIDES EAST INTO THE TN VALLEY THIS EVENING, WINDS BECOME
LIGHTER AND ALLOWS TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE 20S TONIGHT.
A BRIEF WARM-UP IS EXPECTED MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS SOUTHERLY WINDS
RETURN. WARMEST DAY OF THE WEEK WILL BE TUESDAY. A DISTURBANCE
SINKING SOUTH OUT OF CANADA ON TUESDAY WILL DIVE SOUTH INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY AND CARVE OUT A DEEP TROUGH ACROSS THE TN VALLEY/SOUTHEAST
U.S. WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. ON THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS SOME LIGHT
PRECIP IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. MOSTLY RAIN, BUT AS
COLDER AIR FUNNELS IN WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED TO SEE A CHANGEOVER TO
SOME SNOW BEFORE ENDING. NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED THOUGH.
AFTER A COLDER PERIOD WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY, ANOTHER BRIEF
BOUT OF RIDGING ALLOWS US TO MODERATE ON FRIDAY. THEREAFTER, MODELS
CONTINUE TO SUGGEST A REINFORCEMENT OF THE TROUGHING ACROSS THE
EASTERN U.S. AS ADDITIONAL ENERGY DIVES SOUTHEASTWARD. THIS SHOULD
LEAD TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEKEND ALONG WITH SOME SMALL
CHANCES FOR PRECIP, WHICH GIVEN THE TEMPERATURE PROFILE MAY INCLUDE
SOME SNOW POTENTIAL. BUT AGAIN, NOT LOOKING LIKE MUCH IF ANY
ACCUMULATIONS.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1221 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
GOOD FLYING CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS TAF ISSUANCE WITH
VFR FLIGHT RULES. A SCATTERED TO BROKEN CEILINGS IS EXPECTED AT
EVV/OWB FOR THE FIRST FEW HOURS OF THIS TAF ISSUANCE BEFORE
IMPROVING CONDITIONS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS WILL
STEADILY DECREASE THROUGH TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SP
AVIATION...KC
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