128  
FNUS73 KPAH 121227  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR APPLE CREEK CA WOODLAND UNIT 4...MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
627 AM CST MON JAN 12 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CST ON JANUARY 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LIGHT WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY THIS MORNING AND INCREASE  
WITH SOME GUSTS OF 15-18 MPH POSSIBLE BY LATE MORNING INTO THE  
AFTERNOON. MIXING WILL BE QUITE SHALLOW TODAY SO DESPITE DECENT  
TRANSPORT WINDS, DISPERSION WILL REMAIN POOR. MINIMUM RH'S WILL  
FALL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30 PERCENT RANGE BY THIS AFTERNOON.  
SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........23 AT IGNITION...MAX 51.  
RH..................88 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 7 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /4900 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR  
/32800 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............23 25 32 38 41 45 47 50 51 50 47  
RH..............88 84 66 52 48 43 42 39 37 41 45  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 10 12 12 12 12 12 10 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 16 21 20 20 20 18 17 17 16 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.2 1.1 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 17 18 18 18 18 18 17 13 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 6 13 19 23 27 29 33 33 12 6  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 33.  
RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4600 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............43 41 40 39 38 37 35 35 34 35 35 34  
RH..............53 59 62 64 70 70 78 78 82 78 82 82  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 14 14 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 16 16 15 15 14 14 13 14 13 15  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 6 6 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 6  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60.  
RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (40700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR PC PC PC MCR PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............35 35 35 41 46 51 55 58 59 60 59 57  
RH..............78 78 85 70 63 54 49 45 45 44 45 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 10 10 12 13 14 14 13 12 12 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 17 18 20 21 22 22 22 22 21 20 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.1 1.6 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 17 17 18 21 22 22 22 22 22 20 18  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 8 10 14 24 29 31 36 41 40 29 16  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...POULOS  
REQUESTED BY...ANTHONY B KING  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2528818.0/PAH  
.DELDT 01/12/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ANTHONY.KING@MDC.MO.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab KY Page
The Nexlab IL Page
The Nexlab IN Page
The Nexlab MO Page
Main Text Page