963  
FNUS73 KPAH 122010  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HILLMAN FERRY RX...US FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
210 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON JANUARY 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WARM TOMORROW WITH HIGHS CLOSE TO 60 AND SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH. MIN RH IS AROUND 45%. LOWER MIXING HEIGHTS WITH POOR  
DISPERSION AROUND IGNITION AND THEN IMPROVING DURING THE DAY. A  
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT/EARLY WEDNESDAY  
MORNING WHICH WILL SHIFT AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY  
MORNING. WINDS WILL ALSO BE BREEZIER ON WEDNESDAY WITH ABOUT A 50%  
CHANCE OF GUSTS EXCEEDING 20 MPH.  
 
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 58.  
RH..................54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2400 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /34700 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR  
/50800 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 54 56 57 58 57 56  
RH..............54 48 47 45 45 47 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 12 12 12 13 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 18 18 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.4 1.4 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 23 23 25 24 18 17  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..35 41 44 51 51 22 15  
VENTRATE CAT....PR FR FR FR FR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 48 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44.  
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10  
TO 12 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4100 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MCR PC MCR PC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY MC  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 50 50 50 50  
TEMP............55 53 53 52 52 51 49 49 48 47 46 45  
RH..............53 59 59 61 61 61 66 68 74 79 86 89  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 13 12 10 10 9 8 7 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 16 15 13 12 10 9 9 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 18 18 18 17 16 15 14 12 10 10 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..12 13 16 12 11 10 9 7 6 5 4 5  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 47.  
RH..................MIN 61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
7 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 28  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (95500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (108300  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............45 45 46 45 44 41  
RH..............93 93 86 79 68 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 9 10 13 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 14 17 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.7 3.1 4.3 5.0 4.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 18 22 22 25 28  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 29 60 82 108 116  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD VYGD VYGD  
 
 
FORECASTER...HICKFORD  
REQUESTED BY...DOUG PHELPS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2528894.0/PAH  
.DELDT 01/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DOUGLAS.PHELPS@USDA.GOV  
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