418  
FNUS73 KPAH 131303  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HILLMAN FERRY RX 2...US FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
703 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON JANUARY 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LOOKS LIKE DECENT DISPERSION FROM NOON TO 3 PM. 20FT WINDS ARE  
SUSTAINED AROUND 10 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, BUT WITH THE WINDS  
COMING OFF THE LAKE, THEY MAY BE CLOSER TO 15 MPH. GUSTS 25 TO 30  
MPH ARE EXPECTED. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF A WETTING RAIN  
OVERNIGHT, WHICH WILL HELP WITH THE HUMIDITY RECOVERY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........51 AT IGNITION...MAX 59.  
RH..................52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 11  
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 29 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2500 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 28 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 18  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /36900 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD  
/61100 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC MCR MCR PC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............51 54 56 58 59 58 57  
RH..............52 47 45 43 42 44 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 11 10 10 10 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.29 28 28 29 29 26 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 2.0 2.4 2.5 2.5 1.2 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 25 28 28 26 20 18  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..37 45 57 61 58 20 15  
VENTRATE CAT....PR FR FR GD FR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY  
OVERNIGHT, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 3  
AM.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 28 PERCENT OVERNIGHT,  
THEN INCREASING TO 47 PERCENT OVERNIGHT  
INCREASING TO 57 PERCENT OVERNIGHT DECREASING  
TO 45 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.  
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4200 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC MC MC MC MC CDY MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 30 50 60 50 50 50  
TEMP............55 55 53 52 52 52 51 50 49 48 48 46  
RH..............51 53 59 61 61 61 63 71 80 86 86 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 10 10 10 8 7 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 20 18 15 13 12 10 9 8 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW NW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 20 20 20 17 16 15 12 12 12 8 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 12 13 13 10 9 8 6 6 8 4 5  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...SPAETH  
REQUESTED BY...DOUG PHELPS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2528968.0/PAH  
.DELDT 01/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DOUGLAS.PHELPS@USDA.GOV  
 
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