577  
FNUS73 KPAH 041425  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CARTERVILLE PILES 2...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
825 AM CST WED FEB 4 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON FEBRUARY 04.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
CLOUD COVER EARLY IN THE DAY WILL GIVE WAY TO AT SCATTERED CLOUDS  
LATER THIS MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE  
NORTHEAST AT THE START OF THE BURN BEFORE BECOMING MAINLY NORTH  
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN  
10 MPH; HOWEVER, A FEW GUSTS MAY REACH AROUND 15 MPH THIS  
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTH ON THURSDAY. RH VALUES  
WILL REMAIN ELEVATED WITH CONTINUED SNOW COVER ALONG WITH ANY  
MELTING THAT OCCURS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........27 AT IGNITION...MAX 32.  
RH..................79 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2700 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /16400 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR  
/40200 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............27 28 30 30 31 32 32 31 30  
RH..............79 78 72 72 69 66 63 66 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 8 8 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 17 17 16 17 16 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 16 17 17 16 17 16 16 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..16 28 33 37 36 40 36 37 8  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 14.  
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6600 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC PC MC  
WEATHER COV.....M M M M M M M M M M M M  
WEATHER TYPE....M M M M M M M M M M M M  
TSTM COV........M M M M M M M M M M M M  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............28 25 24 23 22 20 19 17 16 17 16 15  
RH..............71 78 81 81 84 92 92 96 96 92 92 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 9 9 8 7 5 5 3 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.6 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.8 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 14 14 13 9 9 10 7 8 6 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 9 8 14 13 9 7 13 9 10 8 7  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 35.  
RH..................MIN 66 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
5 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 15 TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2000 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....M M M M M M M M M M M M  
WEATHER TYPE....M M M M M M M M M M M M  
TSTM COV........M M M M M M M M M M M M  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............15 14 17 21 24 27 30 32 34 35 34 33  
RH..............88 92 92 84 77 74 72 69 66 66 69 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 3 5 5 6 6 6 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 3 3 5 7 9 12 13 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 1.9 1.5 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NW W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 5 5 6 7 9 12 14 15 16 16  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 2 4 5 6 9 13 18 23 25 21 14  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...COOLEY  
REQUESTED BY...DAVID JONES  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2601644.0/PAH  
.DELDT 02/04/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DAVID_JONES@FWS.GOV  
 
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