835
FNUS73 KPAH 231201
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR CROWLEYS BURN...MDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
601 AM CST MON FEB 23 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON FEBRUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
THE MAIN CONCERN TODAY IS THAT WINDS AND DISPERSION WILL DECREASE
THIS AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSION WILL START OFF GOOD AND THEN DROP
TO POOR BY LATE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE UNDER 50% TO
START THE DAY, AND BY NOON WILL DROP TO 30-35%, WHERE IT WILL
REMAIN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT WILL ALLOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO RECOVER TO 75% OR GREATER. SOUTH WINDS WILL
DEVELOP QUICKLY ON TUESDAY AND WILL BE SUSTAINED 15-20 MPH WITH
GUSTS 30-35 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP
TO 30-35% BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........21 AT IGNITION...MAX 34.
RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT AROUND 4 PM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4100 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 13 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /66100 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
/66100 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............21 24 24 27 30 31 33 34 34 33
RH..............49 43 43 40 35 36 33 32 33 36
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 9 9 7 7 6 5 2
20 FT WIND GUST.21 21 20 20 17 16 14 13 10 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 3.3 3.3 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.0 3.3 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 22 21 20 18 16 16 15 13 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..66 62 60 61 61 56 57 53 36 30
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD GD GD GD FR FR FR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 20.
RH..................MAX 71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH AFTER 3
AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 2 TO 3
MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH 3 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (600 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............29 26 24 23 22 21 21 20 20 20 20 20
RH..............44 50 57 59 62 62 65 67 67 67 71 71
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE E SE SE S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 3 3 3 5 5 6 7 9 10 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE E SE S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 3 2 3 3 6 7 8 10 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 4
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 49.
RH..................MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 29
TO 36 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (90000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC MC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............21 21 25 30 35 39 44 47 48 49 49 48
RH..............68 68 60 51 43 39 35 34 35 37 40 44
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 9 12 13 15 16 17 18 17 16 15
20 FT WIND GUST.15 17 22 25 28 30 31 32 33 33 32 30
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.7 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.3 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 16 22 25 28 30 31 33 36 36 32 29
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 10 24 38 47 58 67 80 90 88 64 37
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD PR
FORECASTER...SPAETH
REQUESTED BY...CALEB STEWART
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2603546.0/PAH
.DELDT 02/23/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CALEB.STEWART@MDC.MO.GOV
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