118
FNUS73 KPAH 231217
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR HILLMAN FERRY RX...USFS LBL NAT REC AREA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
617 AM CST MON FEB 23 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DEEP MIXING (4500' AGL) AND NORTHERLY TRANSPORT WINDS AT 16 TO 17
MPH WILL RESULT IN GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
NORTHWESTERLY 20FT WINDS WILL DIMINISH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO NEAR 35%.
WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY SUNSET AND ALLOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY TO RECOVER TO AT LEAST 80% TONIGHT. SOUTH WINDS WILL
DEVELOP QUICKLY ON TUESDAY AND WILL BE SUSTAINED AT 10-15 MPH
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WHEN GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION IS EXPECTED.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY TUESDAY WILL DROP TO 30-35% THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........26 AT IGNITION...MAX 34.
RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4500 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /56700 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
/66900 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............26 28 30 31 33 33 34
RH..............48 44 41 39 38 38 40
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 7 7 5
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 16 16 14 13 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.8 4.1 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.3 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 16 17 17 17 17 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..57 58 64 66 67 65 42
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR GD GD GD GD FR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 25.
RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
5 TO 6 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1700 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............32 31 29 28 27 26 26 25 26 25 25 25
RH..............47 51 58 63 65 71 71 74 71 74 74 78
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3
20 FT WIND GUST.8 6 6 5 3 3 3 5 5 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NW NW W W SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 10 8 7 5 5 3 5 5 5 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 6 6 5 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 3
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 49.
RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 28 TO
31 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (83500 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............25 29 34 41 47 49
RH..............74 60 49 39 35 37
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 7 8 10 12 12
20 FT WIND GUST.8 15 18 21 24 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.4 2.1 2.8 3.1 2.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 16 21 26 31 30
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 20 38 64 84 65
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR GOOD GOOD GOOD
FORECASTER...SPAETH
REQUESTED BY...DOUG PHELPS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2603550.0/PAH
.DELDT 02/23/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DOUGLAS.PHELPS@USDA.GOV
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