565
FNUS73 KPAH 231405
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR VANCE BARNETT RX...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
805 AM CST MON FEB 23 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON FEBRUARY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
NORTH WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT THROUGHOUT THE DAY WEDNESDAY WITH
GUSTS REMAINING AROUND OR BELOW 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE POOR AT
THE BURN SITE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE
TO THE 35-45% RANGE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY WEDNESDAY. RH
RECOVERIES WILL BE AROUND 100 PERCENT WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH THE
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........39 AT IGNITION...MAX 61.
RH..................76 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTH AT 1 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /2400 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR
/31600 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............39 43 48 53 57 59 61 61 60 58
RH..............76 67 58 48 43 40 38 38 41 45
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE E SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 8 8 9 10 12 12 12 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.9 1.4 2.0 2.5 3.1 3.5 3.5 2.8 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE NE E SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 6 7 9 10 10 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 4 6 9 13 20 28 32 25 14
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 45 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 9
TO 10 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5100 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 50 50 50 50
TEMP............56 54 52 50 49 48 47 45 44 43 43 44
RH..............51 57 63 71 77 80 86 96 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S W
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S SE SE S S S SW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 12 13 12 10 9 9 9 9 9 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 5 6 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 5
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................32 PERCENT EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57.
RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............30 M M M M M M M M M M M
TEMP............45 45 45 45 47 50 52 54 56 56 55 53
RH..............100 100 96 93 83 71 63 57 49 47 47 46
20 FT WIND DIR..NW M M M M M M M M M M M
20 FT WIND SPD..2 M M M M M M M M M M M
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 13 14 15 16 16 16 16 15 14 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 M M M M M M M M M M M
TRANSP WIND DIR.W M M M M M M M M M M M
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 M M M M M M M M M M M
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 M M M M M M M M M M M
VENTRATE CAT....PR M M M M M M M M M M M
FORECASTER...COOLEY
REQUESTED BY...KRYSTEN BAUER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2603572.0/PAH
.DELDT 02/23/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KRYSTEN_BAUER@NPS.GOV
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