418  
FNUS73 KPAH 241007  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CRCA_RXB...MISSOURI DEPT CONSERVATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
407 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CST ON FEBRUARY 25.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THIS IS BASED ON THE REQUESTED TIME OF TOMORROW/WEDNESDAY. IF YOU WANTED  
TODAY JUST RESUBMIT ANOTHER REQUTEST. LIGHTER WINDS ARE FORECAST WEDNESDAY  
WITH HIGHER HUMIDITY THAN TUESDAY AND RELATIVELY LOW MIXING HEIGHTS. THIS  
SHOULD LEAD TO RELATIVELY POOR DISPERSION.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 58.  
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /1300 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR  
/10400 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............41 43 47 51 54 56 57 58 58 57 56  
RH..............70 67 63 54 48 47 45 45 45 49 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..S W NW N E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.5 1.9 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SE SE SE SE S S SE E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 3 5 7 9 10 10 10 9 6  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 43 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39.  
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO  
6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT SHIFTING TO  
THE NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1100 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 40 40 40 40 40 40  
TEMP............54 52 50 48 47 47 46 45 44 43 42 41  
RH..............57 61 68 74 76 79 83 86 89 93 96 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE SE SE SE E NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E E SE SE S S SW NW N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 7 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57.  
RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY  
IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2800 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............41 41 43 45 48 51 54 56 57 57 56 54  
RH..............96 96 89 82 74 68 61 57 53 53 55 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 13 12 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.3 3.1 3.8 4.0 3.1 1.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N NW N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 9 9 9 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 4 6 9 12 16 23 29 32 24 14  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...GIBBS  
REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN NOTCH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2603574.0/PAH  
.DELDT 02/25/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JONATHAN.NOTCH@MDC.MO.GOV  
 
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