144  
FNUS73 KPAH 241422  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR VANCE BARNETT RX...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
822 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON FEBRUARY 27.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL FRIDAY WITH LIGHT SOUTHWEST  
WINDS. THE BEST MIXING FOR DISPERSION WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON  
HOURS. RAINFALL FROM THE PREVIOUS DAY WILL NOT BE ENOUGH TO  
MITIGATE THE ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........39 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.  
RH..................85 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 1 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10  
TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /2800 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR  
/45000 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............39 44 50 57 62 65 67 67 66 64  
RH..............85 73 58 45 38 33 29 28 29 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 8 10 13 14 14 13 12 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.4 2.3 3.5 4.3 4.8 4.8 4.3 3.4 2.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 12 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 6 12 21 30 40 45 43 33 19  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39.  
RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 M M M M M M M M M M M  
TEMP............61 57 53 50 48 46 45 44 43 42 41 39  
RH..............38 43 52 58 63 68 70 73 76 79 82 85  
20 FT WIND DIR..S M M M M M M M M M M M  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 M M M M M M M M M M M  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 M M M M M M M M M M M  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S M M M M M M M M M M M  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 M M M M M M M M M M M  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 M M M M M M M M M M M  
VENTRATE CAT....PR M M M M M M M M M M M  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................MISSING.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73.  
RH..................MIN 26 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MISSING.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............M M M M M M M M M M M M  
TEMP............40 42 46 51 57 63 68 71 73 73 71 68  
RH..............82 76 68 59 49 41 35 30 27 26 28 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..M M M M M M M M M M M M  
20 FT WIND SPD..M M M M M M M M M M M M  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 8 10 12 13 14 15 15 15 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...M M M M M M M M M M M M  
TRANSP WIND DIR.M M M M M M M M M M M M  
TRANSP WIND SPD.M M M M M M M M M M M M  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..M M M M M M M M M M M M  
VENTRATE CAT....M M M M M M M M M M M M  
 

 
FORECASTER...WITTEN  
REQUESTED BY...KRYSTEN BAUER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2603748.0/PAH  
.DELDT 02/24/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KRYSTEN_BAUER@NPS.GOV  
 
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