907  
FNUS73 KPAH 241455  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SMITH RX \ LOCAL PLANNING...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
855 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON FEBRUARY 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TODAY ACROSS THE  
ENTIRE AREA DUE TO THE ONGOING DROUGHT, GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE  
DAY WITH ONLY MODEST MOISTURE RETURN. GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH ARE  
FORECAST WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING TO 25 TO 35%. MIXING  
HEIGHTS WILL BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED TO AROUND 3000 FT BUT WITH STRONG  
WINDS DISPERSION SHOULD BE GOOD.  
 
LIGHTER WINDS AND LOWER MIXING HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO LEAD TO LOWER  
DISPERSION CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY WITH A CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN WEDNESDAY  
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........31 AT IGNITION...MAX 50.  
RH..................56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 29 MPH  
INCREASING TO 38 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2300 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 24 TO 32 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 28  
TO 35 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /36400 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD  
/69300 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............31 34 39 43 45 48 48 49 50  
RH..............56 49 40 36 36 35 37 37 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 13 14 16 16 16 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 29 33 33 37 37 37 38 35  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.0 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 25 28 30 32 35 35 33 28  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..36 43 50 55 65 69 67 57 23  
VENTRATE CAT....PR FR FR FR GD GD GD FR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.  
RH..................MAX 73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 30 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 26 MPH BECOMING WEST 9 TO 14  
MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3400 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............48 48 48 48 48 47 47 45 45 44 42 43  
RH..............44 44 46 51 51 53 56 60 62 65 70 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 13 13 12 12 10 9 8 7 6 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.30 28 28 25 24 22 20 18 15 14 12 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.26 25 24 24 24 23 22 20 17 14 12 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..12 12 13 11 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 3  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56.  
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 3 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1600 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............42 43 44 47 49 51 54 55 56 56 55 54  
RH..............73 70 70 65 61 56 50 49 47 47 51 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W NW NW NW NW NW N NE NE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.4 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.6 2.4 2.3 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW N W NW NW N N NW NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 6 5 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 2 2 5 6 8 7 8 8 7 7 3  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...WITTEN  
REQUESTED BY...DAVID JONES  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2603754.0/PAH  
.DELDT 02/24/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DAVID_JONES@FWS.GOV  
 
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