168
FXUS63 KPAH 161639
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1139 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SOME LIGHT SNOW REMAINS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EAST INTO THE
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.
- WINTER-LIKE COLD TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH LOWS
DROPPING INTO THE MID TEENS TO AROUND 20 DEGREES; THIS WILL
APPROACH RECORDS AND TRANSLATE TO WIND CHILLS IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS TO LOWER TEENS AROUND DAYBREAK TUESDAY.
- A WEAK DISTURBANCE MAY BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT SNOW
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY (20-40% CHANCE ACROSS THE
NORTH AND EAST). LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.
- WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK,
WITH 70S BY THURSDAY CONTINUING THRU THE WEEKEND AND A FEW 80S
APPEARING HERE AND THERE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1126 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
WINTER LIKE TEMPERATURES HAVE SETTLED ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
ALONG WITH CONTINUED GUSTY WINDS AND MOSTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY
SKIES. A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES HAVE BEEN OCCURRING
SINCE THE PRE-DAWN HOURS AND CONTINUE LATE THIS MORNING.
TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH THE MID 30S TODAY FOR HIGHS
AND ALONG WITH THE WINDS WILL KEEP WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS TO
20S. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE DEPARTING
LARGE SCALE TROUGH DEVELOPS ACROSS THE QUAD STATE WITH CONTINUED
STRONG CAA TONIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL DROP INTO THE
MID TEENS TO LOWER 20S. A CONTINUED NORTHWEST WIND WILL LEAD TO
WINDCHILLS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS BY TUESDAY MORNING.
WE SEE SOME WARMING ON TUESDAY ALTHOUGH NOT MUCH WITH HIGHS
ONLY MAKING IT TO THE FREEZING MARK IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA, AND
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S ELSEWHERE. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT TO
THE SOUTHWEST LATER IN THE DAY, AND MORE SOUTHERLY BY TUESDAY
NIGHT. TUESDAY NIGHT WILL FEATURE ANOTHER NIGHT OF NEAR TO BELOW
FREEZING TEMPERATURES FOR MOST OF THE REGION. A DISTURBANCE
MAKING ITS WAY THROUGH THE REGION LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
MAY BRING LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TO THE AREA BUT STILL THINK IT WILL
BE A MOSTLY NON-IMPACTFUL EVENT WITH ANY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS ON
GRASSY SURFACES. MORE SIGNIFICANT WARMING OCCURS BY WEDNESDAY
AND CARRIES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BY THURSDAY HIGHS WILL BE BACK
INTO THE 70S, WITH A FEW LOCATIONS SEEING NEAR 80 DEGREES OVER
THE WEEKEND. NO PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE LATE
WEEK AND WEEKEND PERIOD WITH RIDGING TO OUR WEST.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1215 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
BREEZY NW WINDS MAY GUST 25-30KTS THRU MORNING AS THE GRADIENT
REMAINS TIGHT BEHIND THE RECENT FROPA. CIGS SHOULD LINGER
MAINLY MVFR UNTIL LATE MORNING, WHERE THEY LIFT TO VFR IN THE
SOUTH BUT STAY BORDERLINE VFR/MVFR IN THE NORTH. BRIEF PERIODS
OF LIGHT SNOW WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
NORTHEAST. WINDS WILL RELAX SOME OVER THE BACK HALF OF THE
FORECAST, AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT STARTS TO LOOSEN UP WITH HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
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