559
FXUS63 KPAH 161737
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1237 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SOME LIGHT SNOW REMAINS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EAST INTO THE
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.
- WINTER-LIKE COLD TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH LOWS
DROPPING INTO THE MID TEENS TO AROUND 20 DEGREES; THIS WILL
APPROACH RECORDS AND TRANSLATE TO WIND CHILLS IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS TO LOWER TEENS AROUND DAYBREAK TUESDAY.
- A WEAK DISTURBANCE MAY BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT SNOW
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY (20-40% CHANCE ACROSS THE
NORTH AND EAST). LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.
- WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK,
WITH 70S BY THURSDAY CONTINUING THRU THE WEEKEND AND A FEW 80S
APPEARING HERE AND THERE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1126 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
WINTER LIKE TEMPERATURES HAVE SETTLED ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
ALONG WITH CONTINUED GUSTY WINDS AND MOSTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY
SKIES. A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES HAVE BEEN OCCURRING
SINCE THE PRE-DAWN HOURS AND CONTINUE LATE THIS MORNING.
TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH THE MID 30S TODAY FOR HIGHS
AND ALONG WITH THE WINDS WILL KEEP WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS TO
20S. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE DEPARTING
LARGE SCALE TROUGH DEVELOPS ACROSS THE QUAD STATE WITH CONTINUED
STRONG CAA TONIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL DROP INTO THE
MID TEENS TO LOWER 20S. A CONTINUED NORTHWEST WIND WILL LEAD TO
WINDCHILLS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS BY TUESDAY MORNING.
WE SEE SOME WARMING ON TUESDAY ALTHOUGH NOT MUCH WITH HIGHS
ONLY MAKING IT TO THE FREEZING MARK IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA, AND
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S ELSEWHERE. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT TO
THE SOUTHWEST LATER IN THE DAY, AND MORE SOUTHERLY BY TUESDAY
NIGHT. TUESDAY NIGHT WILL FEATURE ANOTHER NIGHT OF NEAR TO BELOW
FREEZING TEMPERATURES FOR MOST OF THE REGION. A DISTURBANCE
MAKING ITS WAY THROUGH THE REGION LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
MAY BRING LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TO THE AREA BUT STILL THINK IT WILL
BE A MOSTLY NON-IMPACTFUL EVENT WITH ANY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS ON
GRASSY SURFACES. MORE SIGNIFICANT WARMING OCCURS BY WEDNESDAY
AND CARRIES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BY THURSDAY HIGHS WILL BE BACK
INTO THE 70S, WITH A FEW LOCATIONS SEEING NEAR 80 DEGREES OVER
THE WEEKEND. NO PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE LATE
WEEK AND WEEKEND PERIOD WITH RIDGING TO OUR WEST.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1234 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
A FEW FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FOR NORTHERN AND EASTERN TERMINALS INTO THE MID AFTERNOON.
LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED FROM THE SNOW. MVFR CIGS
WILL PERSIST INTO TONIGHT WITH IMPROVEMENT TO VFR EXPECTED
TUESDAY MORNING. BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10-15 KTS WILL BECOME
7-11 KTS TONIGHT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
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