536  
FXUS63 KPAH 162250  
AFDPAH  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
550 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- SOME LIGHT SNOW REMAINS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EAST INTO THE  
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.  
 
- WINTER-LIKE COLD TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH LOWS  
DROPPING INTO THE MID TEENS TO AROUND 20 DEGREES; THIS WILL  
APPROACH RECORDS AND TRANSLATE TO WIND CHILLS IN THE SINGLE  
DIGITS TO LOWER TEENS AROUND DAYBREAK TUESDAY.  
 
- A WEAK DISTURBANCE MAY BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT SNOW  
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY (20-40% CHANCE ACROSS THE  
NORTH AND EAST). LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.  
 
- WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK,  
WITH 70S BY THURSDAY CONTINUING THRU THE WEEKEND AND A FEW 80S  
APPEARING HERE AND THERE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 1126 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2026  
 
WINTER LIKE TEMPERATURES HAVE SETTLED ACROSS THE REGION TODAY  
ALONG WITH CONTINUED GUSTY WINDS AND MOSTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY  
SKIES. A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES HAVE BEEN OCCURRING  
SINCE THE PRE-DAWN HOURS AND CONTINUE LATE THIS MORNING.  
TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH THE MID 30S TODAY FOR HIGHS  
AND ALONG WITH THE WINDS WILL KEEP WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS TO  
20S. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE DEPARTING  
LARGE SCALE TROUGH DEVELOPS ACROSS THE QUAD STATE WITH CONTINUED  
STRONG CAA TONIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL DROP INTO THE  
MID TEENS TO LOWER 20S. A CONTINUED NORTHWEST WIND WILL LEAD TO  
WINDCHILLS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS BY TUESDAY MORNING.  
 
WE SEE SOME WARMING ON TUESDAY ALTHOUGH NOT MUCH WITH HIGHS  
ONLY MAKING IT TO THE FREEZING MARK IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA, AND  
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S ELSEWHERE. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT TO  
THE SOUTHWEST LATER IN THE DAY, AND MORE SOUTHERLY BY TUESDAY  
NIGHT. TUESDAY NIGHT WILL FEATURE ANOTHER NIGHT OF NEAR TO BELOW  
FREEZING TEMPERATURES FOR MOST OF THE REGION. A DISTURBANCE  
MAKING ITS WAY THROUGH THE REGION LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY  
MAY BRING LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TO THE AREA BUT STILL THINK IT WILL  
BE A MOSTLY NON-IMPACTFUL EVENT WITH ANY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS ON  
GRASSY SURFACES. MORE SIGNIFICANT WARMING OCCURS BY WEDNESDAY  
AND CARRIES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BY THURSDAY HIGHS WILL BE BACK  
INTO THE 70S, WITH A FEW LOCATIONS SEEING NEAR 80 DEGREES OVER  
THE WEEKEND. NO PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE LATE  
WEEK AND WEEKEND PERIOD WITH RIDGING TO OUR WEST.  
 
 
   
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 550 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026  
 
LINGERING MVFR CIGS ACROSS THE NORTHERN TERMINALS WILL IMPROVE  
TO VFR TONIGHT. LOW VFR CIGS SCATTER OUT OVERNIGHT WITH MOSTLY  
CLEAR SKIES TO START OFF TUESDAY. HIGH CIRRUS CLOUDS BEGIN TO  
ARRIVE FROM THE WEST LATE AFTERNOON.  
 
WINDS TONIGHT WILL REMAIN BREEZY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS  
OVER 20 KTS GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. WINDS  
LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON SHIFT SOUTHWEST AROUND 5-6 KTS.  
 
 
   
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
IL...NONE.  
MO...NONE.  
IN...NONE.  
KY...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
 
DISCUSSION...  
AVIATION...DW  
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