789
FXUS63 KPAH 170610
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
110 AM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW
TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. A LIGHT DUSTING IS POSSIBLE IN
OUR NORTHEAST.
- WARMER TEMPERATURES RETURN TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK, WITH
70S BY THURSDAY CONTINUING THRU THE WEEKEND AND A FEW 80S
APPEARING HERE AND THERE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.
- A STRONG COLD FRONT LOOKS TO MAKE A LATE SUNDAY PASSAGE, WHICH
WILL BRING A SHARP 15-20 DEGREE DROP IN TEMPERATURES FOR A
MUCH COOLER START TO THE NEW WORK WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 109 AM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
AFTER A RECORD/NEAR RECORD COLD START TO THE DAY, WITH DAYBREAK
WIND CHILLS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOWER TEENS, AND MAYBE EVEN
A FEW LINGERING FLURRIES IN OUR NORTHEAST, WE'LL START TO SEE
MORE AND MORE SUNSHINE RETURN BUT THE COLD REMAINS LOCKED IN FOR
AT LEAST ANOTHER DAY. WE'LL RUN 20-25 DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL
NORMS FOR HIGHS LARGELY IN THE 30S, WITH SOME LOWER 40S SNEAKING
INTO SEMO. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN/OVERTOP SO WINDS WON'T BE
QUITE AS BITING AT LEAST.
THE HIGH SHIFTS EAST TONIGHT, AND WARM ADVECTION KICKS IN WITH
RETURN FLOW SOUTHERLIES AHEAD OF ANOTHER UPPER WAVE OF ENERGY
THAT PERTURBATES ITS DISTURBANCE ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT-
EARLY WEDNESDAY. THE PROFILE IS STILL COLD ENOUGH FOR ITS
SQUEEZE OUT OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH QPF ACROSS OUR NORTH
AND NORTHEAST THAT MAY RESULT IN A MINOR DUSTING OF LIGHT
SNOWFALL, A LAST GLANCING SHOT BEFORE WE START TO WARM UP AGAIN.
THE WARMUP KICKS IN FOR THE BACK HALF OF THE WEEK, WITH
WEDNESDAY THE WEEK'S BISECTING GO-BETWEEN DAY OF MODERATING
TEMPERATURES AS 50S AND 60S CREEP BACK INTO THE FORECAST. 70S
RETURN THURSDAY, AND CONTINUE INTO/THRU THE WEEKEND, WITH A FEW
80S APPEARING HERE AND THERE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.
A STRONG SYNOPTIC SCALE COLD FRONT IS POISED TO MAKE LATE
WEEKEND PASSAGE. THIS ONE LOOKS DRY, AT LEAST AT THIS WRITING,
BUT IT WILL PACK A ROBUST COLD PUNCH THAT DROPS TEMPERATURES A
GOOD 15-20 DEGREES TO BEGIN THE NEW WORK WEEK.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 109 AM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
LOW VFR CIGS ACROSS THE NORTHERN TERMINALS WILL SCATTER OUT
EVENTUALLY TODAY, NOT WITHSTANDING A FEW TEMPORARY DROPS TO
MVFR WITH LIGHT FLURRIES POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. HIGH
PRESSURE TAKES OVER, BUT QUICKLY SHIFTS EAST, AND HIGH CLOUDS
BEGIN TO ARRIVE FROM THE WEST LATE TODAY, THEN LOWER AND THICKEN
TONIGHT AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE APPROACHES. A FEW SHOWERS MAY
ENTER THE FORECAST PICTURE AT KMVN LATE IN THE TAF PERIOD, WHICH
WILL ULTIMATELY TRANSLATE ACROSS KEVV/KOWB THRU THE FOLLOWING
MORNING.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
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