283
FXUS63 KPAH 180502
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1202 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A WEAK DISTURBANCE MAY PRODUCE SOME LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES
THRU EARLY THIS MORNING, BUT IMPACTS WILL BE NEGLIGIBLE.
- TEMPERATURES MODERATE CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMS (60S) TODAY AND
THEN WE ENTER A WARMING TREND (70S, SOME 80S) THRU THE
WEEKEND.
- A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MAKE A LATE SUNDAY PASSAGE, WHICH
BRINGS A SHARP 20-25 DEGREE DROP IN TEMPERATURES FOR A MUCH
COOLER START TO THE NEW WORK WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1201 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
A WEAK PERTURBATION OF ENERGY WITHIN THE PRIMARY TROF AXIS
SKIRTS THE FA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE PROFILE IS COLD ENOUGH FOR
ANY PCPN TO FALL AS SNOW, EVEN AS SOUTHERLIES KICK IN AND WE
BEGIN TO WARM UP. ON THE OUTSIDE CHANCE A LIGHT DUSTING WERE TO
OCCUR, ITS IMPACTS WILL BE NEGLIGIBLE.
AFTER THAT, THE WARMING TREND KICKS INTO HIGHER GEARS WITH TIME.
WE'LL RETURN CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMS TODAY NEAR OR INTO THE
60S, THEN 70S JUMP INTO THE PICTURE THURSDAY THRU THE WEEKEND. A
FEW 80S MAY SHOOT UP ON THE MERCURY AS WELL.
A STRONG SYNOPTIC SCALE COLD FRONT IS POISED TO MAKE LATE
WEEKEND PASSAGE. THIS ONE LOOKS DRY, AT LEAST AT THIS WRITING,
BUT IT WILL PACK A ROBUST COLD PUNCH THAT DROPS TEMPERATURES A
GOOD 20-25 DEGREES TO BEGIN THE NEW WORK WEEK.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1201 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
A GRADUAL LOWERING/THICKENING OF VFR CLOUD BASES WILL COINCIDE
WITH THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK DISTURBANCE THIS MORNING. SCATTERED
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES ACCOMPANY ITS PASSAGE, ESPECIALLY
ACROSS OUR NORTH AND EAST. HIGH PRESSURE TAKES OVER AFTER ITS
DEPARTURE, AND WE ARE LEFT WITH BENIGN FORECAST CONDITIONS INTO
THE MID WEEK.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
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