780
FXUS63 KPAH 190500
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1200 AM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- EXPECT A SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND THE REST OF THE WEEK, WITH
TEMPERATURES AROUND 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND.
- A LATE WEEKEND COLD FRONT WILL BRING A FEW SPRINKLES OR LIGHT
SHOWERS TO MAINLY NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE REGION LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT, WITH TEMPERATURES MONDAY FALLING BACK TO A
LITTLE BELOW NORMAL.
- ANOTHER WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN TUESDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1158 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
UPDATED THE AVIATION SECTION FOR THE 06Z TAF ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1258 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
A SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND WITH FAIRLY PERSISTENT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS
THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI AND LOWER OHIO VALLEYS. AFTER NEAR SEASONAL
VALUES TODAY, READINGS WILL BE 15 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
SATURDAY, AND AROUND 20+ DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL SUNDAY IN THE
LOWER TO MIDDLE 80S. THERE WILL BE OCCASIONAL INCREASES IN
CLOUDS DUE TO SOME WEAK PERTURBATIONS IN THE UPPER FLOW, BUT
OVERALL THERE WILL BE QUITE A BIT OF SUNSHINE EACH DAY THROUGH
SUNDAY.
MODELS BRING A COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR REGION LATE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY
NIGHT. THE MODEL BLEND NOW PRODUCES 15-20% CHANCES OF LIGHT
SHOWERS/SPRINKLES LATE SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS MAINLY SOUTHWEST
INDIANA, ADJACENT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST
KENTUCKY. DUE TO LACKING MOISTURE, RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE A
TRACE TO A COUPLE OF HUNDREDTHS AT BEST. MORE SIGNIFICANTLY,
HIGH TEMPERATURES MONDAY WILL BE 20 TO 25 DEGREES COOLER THAN
SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE AROUND 5 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
ANOTHER WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN TUESDAY, AS WINDS GRADUALLY
SHIFT TO THE EAST THEN SOUTH TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL ALREADY BE BACK TO 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1158 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. LIGHT WINDS
TONIGHT ONLY INCREASE TO AROUND 5KTS TOMORROW BEFORE CALMING
AGAIN DURING THE EVENING. BKN HIGH CLOUDS MOVE THROUGH DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, WITH SCT 8-10KFT CLOUDS MIDDAY, BEFORE
BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR IN THE EVENING.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
UPDATE...ATL
DISCUSSION...RST
AVIATION...ATL
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