869
FXUS63 KPAH 200353
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1053 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND WILL SEND TEMPERATURES RISING
15-25 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THIS WEEKEND.
- A COLD FRONT WILL BRING A SMALL AND DECREASING CHANCE
(10-20%) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER SUNDAY EVENING.
- TEMPERATURES WILL COOL BACK TO NEAR NORMAL LATE MARCH VALUES
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1151 AM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
RELATIVELY TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE APPARENT ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY. PATCHY HIGH CLOUDS DOT THE WESTERN HALF OF THE
QUAD-STATE ON THE NOSE OF A MODEST JET MAX PUSHING INTO AND EAST
OF THE AREA. DRY, WARMER AND MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS PERSIST
THROUGH TOMORROW WITH THE MAIN NOTICEABLE DIFFERENCES BEING
A SLIGHTLY STRONGER SOUTHWEST BREEZE AND TEMPERATURES PEAKING
ABOUT 8 DEGREES HIGHER. SATURDAY LOOKS A LITTLE WARMER STILL.
GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT ON A FAIRLY STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING
THROUGH SUNDAY ALTHOUGH THERE IS ALSO PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT
IT WILL BE A DRY PASSAGE DUE TO A LACK OF COLUMN MOISTURE,
PARTICULARLY IN THE MID-LEVELS. I'M A LITTLE SKEPTICAL OF A DRY
MARCH FRONT, BUT WILL HOLD THE LINE FOR NOW KEEPING A BREEZY AND
DRY DAY IN PLACE. BEHIND THE FRONT TEMPERATURES DROP BACK CLOSER
TO SEASONAL NORMS WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S AND LOWS IN THE 40S.
WITH A GENERAL TREND WARMING BACK UP SOMEWHAT INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK. THERE ARE NO OBVIOUS MAJOR/TRACKABLE WEATHER SYSTEMS
OR HAZARDS THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1052 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
GOOD FLYING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS TAF ISSUANCE
WITH VFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM THE
SOUTH TONIGHT TO THE WEST BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. GUSTS MAY REACH
CLOSE TO 20 KTS DURING PEAK HEATING.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...JGG
AVIATION...KC
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