872  
FNUS73 KPAH 231001  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CROSSROADS RX UNIT 8...USDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
501 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL RETURN BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD FRONT  
TODAY. MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE MINIMUM RH VALUES OF 22-32% THIS  
AFTERNOON AND AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON. DEEPER MIXING AND NE  
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION TODAY  
WHILE WINDS ALOFT WILL DECREASE TUESDAY FAVORING POOR CONDITIONS.  
THE NEXT CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS WILL ARRIVE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO  
FRIDAY WHEN ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION.  
RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW A HALF INCH. RECORD  
WARMTH WILL ARRIVE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ON THURSDAY WITH HIGHS  
WARMING WELL INTO THE 80S ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 58.  
RH..................62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTH AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
NORTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3500 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 23 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /48300 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR  
/59500 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............44 47 50 53 56 57 57 58  
RH..............62 53 48 43 37 34 34 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 9 10 9 9 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 18 18 18 18 17 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 22 21 21 21 21 20 20  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..48 50 51 54 57 60 59 55  
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40.  
RH..................MAX 60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
AROUND 17 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (53400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (10600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............56 55 53 50 48 47 46 46 45 44 43 42  
RH..............34 35 39 44 47 49 51 49 51 53 57 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 14 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 1.7 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 20 16 15 15 15 15 15 16 16 15 17  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..53 29 13 12 11 12 11 13 14 16 16 20  
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62.  
RH..................MIN 27 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 7 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9900 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............42 42 48 55 60 62  
RH..............57 57 46 35 29 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 9 8 7 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.3 2.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 12 7 6 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..17 18 15 10 12 14  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
 
 
FORECASTER...HICKFORD  
REQUESTED BY...GARRISON LUPTON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2607195.0/PAH  
.DELDT 03/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GARRISON.LUPTON@USDA.GOV  
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