298
FNUS73 KPAH 231110
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR TORNADO WEST...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
610 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MARCH 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL RETURN BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD FRONT
TODAY. MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE MINIMUM RH VALUES OF 22-32% THIS
AFTERNOON AND AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON. DEEPER MIXING AND NE
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION TODAY
WHILE WINDS ALOFT WILL DECREASE TUESDAY FAVORING POOR CONDITIONS.
THE NEXT CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS WILL ARRIVE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY WHEN ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION.
RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW A HALF INCH. RECORD
WARMTH WILL ARRIVE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ON THURSDAY WITH HIGHS
WARMING WELL INTO THE 80S ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 58.
RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTH AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3600 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 16 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /56600 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR
/56600 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............41 45 48 51 54 56 57 58 57
RH..............59 49 44 37 34 31 29 27 28
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 9 9 8 8 8 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.24 22 21 20 18 17 17 17 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 23 21 20 20 18 18 17 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..57 52 48 49 53 54 56 55 49
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39.
RH..................MAX 67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (42600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (9200 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............56 55 52 50 48 47 46 45 45 44 43 41
RH..............30 32 36 41 44 45 49 51 51 53 55 59
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.16 15 15 16 16 16 17 16 16 15 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 2.2 0.8 1.5 1.4 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E NE NE E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 15 13 18 17 15 16 15 14 14 14 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..43 28 9 24 22 13 17 15 12 12 11 10
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60.
RH..................MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8900 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............41 40 39 42 46 49 52 55 57 59 60 59
RH..............59 62 67 60 51 46 41 37 34 32 31 33
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E SE SE E
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 13 13 12 12 10 9 9 9 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 15 15 14 10 9 9 9 10 10 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 10 16 16 18 14 14 16 19 23 25 19
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...HICKFORD
REQUESTED BY...JEFF ROWETT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2607194.0/PAH
.DELDT 03/23/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JEFFERY.ROWETT@USDA.GOV,JEFFREY.WILSON2@USDA.GOV
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