616
FNUS73 KPAH 231142
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR PENNANT BAR...IL-SHF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
642 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CDT ON MARCH 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL RETURN BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD FRONT
TODAY. MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE MINIMUM RH VALUES OF 22-32% THIS
AFTERNOON AND AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON. DEEPER MIXING AND NE
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION TODAY
WHILE WINDS ALOFT WILL DECREASE TUESDAY FAVORING POOR CONDITIONS.
THE NEXT CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS WILL ARRIVE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY WHEN ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION.
RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW A HALF INCH. RECORD
WARMTH WILL ARRIVE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ON THURSDAY WITH HIGHS
WARMING WELL INTO THE 80S ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY
(50-60 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........39 AT IGNITION...MAX 57.
RH..................65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTH AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
NORTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH IN
THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3200 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /36800 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR
/57900 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR CLR MCR MCR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............39 38 38 40 44 47 50 53 55 55 57 55
RH..............65 64 67 62 51 45 41 36 34 34 30 32
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 12 12 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 8
20 FT WIND GUST.26 25 24 23 21 21 20 18 18 18 17 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.3 2.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.26 24 28 26 23 21 21 21 20 20 20 21
VRATE KT-FT/1K..37 28 49 58 50 46 50 51 50 53 54 56
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39.
RH..................MAX 64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND
5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 13 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (58100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (9400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC PC MC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............55 52 49 48 46 45 44 43 43 43 41 41
RH..............32 39 44 46 49 53 53 55 55 55 59 59
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..7 5 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.15 14 14 14 15 16 16 16 15 14 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 13 13 15 15 14 14 17 14 14 13 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..58 12 10 10 12 10 9 13 10 12 12 13
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62.
RH..................MIN 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO
7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7300 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............41 39 41 43 47 51 54 57 59 61 62 61
RH..............59 64 62 57 51 44 40 35 33 31 28 31
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..3 6 6 5 5 3 3 3 2 2 3 2
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 12 10 10 9 8 8 8 7 7 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.7 2.8 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE E
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 14 16 14 9 8 6 5 5 5 6 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 10 18 16 12 11 9 8 9 11 14 13
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...HICKFORD
REQUESTED BY...TYSON TAYLOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2607149.0/PAH
.DELDT 03/23/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TYSON.TAYLOR@USDA.GOV
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