549
FNUS73 KPAH 231427
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR BACON CREEK UNIT 1...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
927 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL RETURN BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD FRONT
TODAY. MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE MINIMUM RH VALUES OF 22-32% THIS
AFTERNOON AND AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON. DEEPER MIXING AND NE
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION TODAY
WHILE WINDS ALOFT WILL DECREASE TUESDAY FAVORING POOR CONDITIONS.
THE NEXT CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS WILL ARRIVE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY WHEN ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION.
RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW A HALF INCH. RECORD
WARMTH WILL ARRIVE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ON THURSDAY WITH HIGHS
WARMING WELL INTO THE 80S ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 59.
RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTH AT 14 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
NORTH WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3500 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /44400 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR
/59300 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR PC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............45 48 51 54 56 57 58 59
RH..............53 47 42 36 34 31 30 29
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N NE
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 18 18 18 17 17 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.5 2.8 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.5 3.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 21 21 20 20 20 20 20
VRATE KT-FT/1K..44 44 51 50 54 57 59 56
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40.
RH..................MAX 59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (49100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (7900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC PC MC MC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............57 55 53 50 48 47 46 46 45 44 43 42
RH..............30 35 38 44 46 47 49 49 51 53 55 57
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 16 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 1.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 18 15 15 15 16 16 16 14 17 15 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..49 23 8 10 9 10 10 12 8 17 14 17
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63.
RH..................MIN 26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 7 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10400 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............42 42 48 55 60 63
RH..............57 57 46 35 28 26
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 6 3 3 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15 14 10 8 7 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.1 1.3 1.6 2.2 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 13 8 6 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 15 15 12 11 14
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
FORECASTER...WITTEN
REQUESTED BY...GARRISON LUPTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2607308.0/PAH
.DELDT 03/23/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL GARRISON.LUPTON@USDA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page