403  
FNUS73 KPAH 231458  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR GREEN BRIAR UNITS C AND F...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
958 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL RETURN BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD FRONT  
TODAY. MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE MINIMUM RH VALUES OF 22-32% THIS  
AFTERNOON AND AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON. DEEPER MIXING AND NE  
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION TODAY  
WHILE WINDS ALOFT WILL DECREASE TUESDAY FAVORING POOR CONDITIONS.  
THE NEXT CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS WILL ARRIVE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO  
FRIDAY WHEN ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION.  
RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW A HALF INCH. RECORD  
WARMTH WILL ARRIVE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ON THURSDAY WITH HIGHS  
WARMING WELL INTO THE 80S ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 56.  
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTH AT 14 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
NORTH WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3300 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 22 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /49900 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR  
/55800 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............42 44 47 50 52 54 54 56  
RH..............55 51 45 41 38 35 35 31  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 10 10 10 10 10 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 20 20 18 18 18 17 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.8 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.3 2.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 21 20 20 20 18 20 20  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..50 51 50 50 51 50 56 50  
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38.  
RH..................MAX 64 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (50400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (7800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............54 52 50 48 46 45 45 44 43 42 41 40  
RH..............35 39 44 47 51 53 51 53 55 55 59 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 14 13 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.8 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 14 13 14 15 14 14 16 14 14 15 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..50 9 8 9 9 9 10 10 12 12 11 11  
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62.  
RH..................MIN 31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING  
LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO  
7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7600 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............40 40 39 41 46 50 54 57 59 61 61 61  
RH..............62 62 64 62 53 46 40 35 34 32 31 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 7 5 3 5 3 3 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 10 9 9 8 8 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.7 2.8 2.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 16 12 9 8 6 5 5 5 6 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 9 17 12 11 10 9 8 9 11 14 13  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...WITTEN  
REQUESTED BY...AARON MCCOWN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2607317.0/PAH  
.DELDT 03/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL AARON.MCCOWN@USDA.GOV,DAVID_JONES@FWS.GOV,AMCCO220@GMAIL.COM  
 
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