567
FNUS73 KPAH 232109
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR MACY REED...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
409 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY CONDITIONS AND A WARMING TREND CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.
AFTERNOON HUMIDITY TUESDAY WILL DROP INTO 18%-26% RANGE ACROSS
MOST OF THE REGION WITH POOR DISPERSION. HUMIDITY WEDNESDAY WILL
FALL TO 30% TO AROUND 40% WITH FAIR TO GOOD DISPERSION. MIXING
HEIGHTS WILL REACH NEAR 3000 FEET OR ABOVE BOTH DAYS. RAIN
CHANCES ARRIVE THURSDAY NIGHT, WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM A TENTH
TO LESS THAN HALF AN INCH EXPECTED BY LATE FRIDAY.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 66.
RH..................43 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS EAST AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3800 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /18200 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR
/42500 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............47 51 56 59 63 65 65 66
RH..............43 36 29 25 21 19 19 18
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 5 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 13 13 13 13 13 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.1 2.4 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.8 3.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 10 12 13 14 13 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..18 23 22 29 35 43 42 32
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR FR PR
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45.
RH..................MAX 65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2500 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............64 62 60 56 53 51 51 50 49 48 47 46
RH..............21 24 28 35 41 46 46 50 54 56 60 63
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E SE SE SE SE S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 10 10 9 8 7 6 6 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 9 8 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..23 8 7 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78.
RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (67700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............45 45 48 53 58 63 67 71 74 77 78 78
RH..............65 65 60 57 51 48 45 42 40 37 36 37
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 8 10 12 14 15 16 16 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.5 3.4 4.2 4.5 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 17 17 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 4 8 13 19 22 25 30 45 62 68 47
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD FR
FORECASTER...HICKFORD
REQUESTED BY...KRYSTEN BAUER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2607404.0/PAH
.DELDT 03/23/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KRYSTEN_BAUER@NPS.GOV
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