762
FXUS63 KPAH 041738
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1238 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A COLD FRONT'S PASSAGE WILL BRING AN END TO LINGERING
SHOWER/STORM CHANCES AND COOL TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO SEASONAL
FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE NEW WEEK.
- ANOTHER WARMUP TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED
OVER THE BACK HALF OF THE COMING WEEK, WITH RAIN CHANCES
RETURNING BY WEEK'S END.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1235 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
A COLD FRONT HAS ENTERED THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF THE CWA, AND
IS POISED TO MAKE PASSAGE THIS AFTERNOON. IT WILL DRAW DOWN ON
THE CHANCE OF RAIN, AS COOLER AND DRIER AIR BEGINS ITS SPREAD
INTO/ACROSS THE REGION. THIS COOLER AIR WILL SEE US RETURN
CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMS FOR THE BEGINNING HALF OF THE NEW WEEK
AS HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES THE PREDOMINANT SYNOPTIC FEATURE OF
SENSIBLE WX INFLUENCE.
LOOKING AT THE THERMAL AND ISODROSOTHERMAL PARAMETERS EARLY IN
THE WEEK, WE SEE 30S DEW POINTS DOORSTEP US BY 00Z THIS EVENING,
WITH 30S ENSCONSED REGION-WIDE BY 12Z TMRW, WHERE THEY STAY TIL
MONDAY NIGHT. THAT'S WHEN WE SEE SOME 20S DEW POINTS SNEAK IN,
AND WITH LOWS IN THE 30S IN OUR NORTH AND WEST, MAY OFFER THE
BEST CHANCE OF FROST THERE MONDAY NIGHT. SOME COMBO OF
WIND/CLOUD MAY PRECLUDE ITS WIDER SPREAD POTENTIAL TIL THEN, AND
COULD DO SO MONDAY NIGHT AS WELL...SOMETHING TO TRACK WITH TIME.
THE HIGH SHIFTS EAST OVER THE BACK HALF OF THE WEEK, ALLOWING
FOR RETURN FLOW SOUTHERLIES TO DEVELOP. THIS WILL LEAD TO WARMER
TEMPERATURES GOING ABOVE SEASONAL AGAIN, AND EVENTUALLY BY
WEEK'S END, SEES THE CHANCE OF RAIN REENTER THE FORECAST.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1235 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
A COLD FRONT'S SOON PASSAGE WILL BRING AN END TO SHOWER/STORM
CHANCES, BUT RESTRICTED BASES MAY LINGER A FEW MORE HOURS BEFORE
MORE SIGINFICANT CLEARING WORKS IN LATER TONIGHT. WINDS GUSTY
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND
NORTHWEST WITH FROPA, THEN LOSE GUSTINESS/DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS
A RETURN TO VISUAL FLIGHT RULES TAKES HOLD OF THE FORECAST GOING
FORWARD.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
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