801
FXUS63 KPAH 050449
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1149 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A COLD FRONT'S PASSAGE WILL BRING AN END TO LINGERING
SHOWER/STORM CHANCES AND COOL TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO SEASONAL
FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE NEW WEEK.
- ANOTHER WARMUP TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED
OVER THE BACK HALF OF THE COMING WEEK, WITH RAIN CHANCES
RETURNING BY WEEK'S END.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1147 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
UPDATED THE AVIATION SECTION FOR THE 06Z TAF ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1235 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
A COLD FRONT HAS ENTERED THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF THE CWA, AND
IS POISED TO MAKE PASSAGE THIS AFTERNOON. IT WILL DRAW DOWN ON
THE CHANCE OF RAIN, AS COOLER AND DRIER AIR BEGINS ITS SPREAD
INTO/ACROSS THE REGION. THIS COOLER AIR WILL SEE US RETURN
CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMS FOR THE BEGINNING HALF OF THE NEW WEEK
AS HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES THE PREDOMINANT SYNOPTIC FEATURE OF
SENSIBLE WX INFLUENCE.
LOOKING AT THE THERMAL AND ISODROSOTHERMAL PARAMETERS EARLY IN
THE WEEK, WE SEE 30S DEW POINTS DOORSTEP US BY 00Z THIS EVENING,
WITH 30S ENSCONCED REGION-WIDE BY 12Z TMRW, WHERE THEY STAY TIL
MONDAY NIGHT. THAT'S WHEN WE SEE SOME 20S DEW POINTS SNEAK IN,
AND WITH LOWS IN THE 30S IN OUR NORTH AND WEST, MAY OFFER THE
BEST CHANCE OF FROST THERE MONDAY NIGHT. SOME COMBO OF
WIND/CLOUD MAY PRECLUDE ITS WIDER SPREAD POTENTIAL TIL THEN, AND
COULD DO SO MONDAY NIGHT AS WELL...SOMETHING TO TRACK WITH TIME.
THE HIGH SHIFTS EAST OVER THE BACK HALF OF THE WEEK, ALLOWING
FOR RETURN FLOW SOUTHERLIES TO DEVELOP. THIS WILL LEAD TO WARMER
TEMPERATURES GOING ABOVE SEASONAL AGAIN, AND EVENTUALLY BY
WEEK'S END, SEES THE CHANCE OF RAIN REENTER THE FORECAST.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1147 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
MVFR CIGS IN THE EAST WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS, AS WILL THE LAST FEW SHOWERS NEAR FORT CAMPBELL. LOW
END VFR CLOUDS MOVE THROUGH NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE QUAD STATE
IN THE EARLY MORNING WITH CLEARING SKIES AFTERWARDS. DESPITE
WINDS DIMINISHING LATER IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, FOG IS NOT
EXPECTED. WINDS INCREASE TO AROUND 10KTS WITH GUSTS OF 15-18KTS
DURING THE AFTERNOON SUNDAY, THEN BECOME CALM DURING THE
EVENING.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
UPDATE...ATL
DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...ATL
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