638
FXUS63 KPAH 081727
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1227 PM CDT WED APR 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A WARMING TREND DEVELOPS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH
HIGHS 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND.
- SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST (30-50%) WITH AN
APPROACHING FRONT LATE FRIDAY. UNSETTLED PATTERN LOOKS TO TAKE
SHAPE EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH 30-50% CHANCES OF STORMS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1227 AM CDT WED APR 8 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED ACROSS THE NORTHEAST THIS
MORNING WITH RIDGING EXTENDING INTO THE CAROLINAS. A FRONT IS
LOCATED ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. WINDS
WILL TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH TODAY WITH INCREASING TEMPERATURES.
HIGHS WILL RISE INTO THE 70S, AROUND 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION WILL RESULT IN
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS STREAMING THROUGH THE AREA. AN UPPER LEVEL
LOW IN SOUTHERN CANADA LIFTS NORTHEAST THURSDAY RESULTING IN A
ZONAL UPPER LEVEL PATTERN ACROSS THE AREA KEEPING THE FRONT TO
OUR NORTH.
LOWERING HEIGHTS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WILL FINALLY PUSH THIS
FRONT INTO OUR AREA LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY BEFORE IT PUSHES
BACK NORTH ON SUNDAY. INCREASED CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS
(20-40%) ARE IN THE FORECAST ALONG THE FRONT FRIDAY PM THROUGH
SATURDAY AM FOR MAINLY AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF THE OHIO RIVER.
LREF PROBABILITIES FOR >0.1" ARE AROUND 50% FOR AREAS ALONG THE
I-64 CORRIDOR. THE AREA DRIES OUT SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY WITH
WARMER TEMPERATURES AS MUCH AS 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. MOST
OF THE AREA WILL SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY REACHING THE
LOW 80S BUT A BIT OF CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE NORTH AND EAST MAY
HOLD HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LOW TO MID 80S ARE FORECAST FOR THE
ENTIRE AREA ON SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. AN UNSETTLED PATTERN
LOOKS TO DEVELOP EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH TROUGHING DEVELOPING TO
THE WEST. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST
MONDAY (30-40%) AND TUESDAY (40-50%).
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1223 PM CDT WED APR 8 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. ON
SATELLITE, SOME VERY THIN HIGH CIRRUS STREAMING ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY. WINDS ARE MODEST OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 6-10 KTS.
SKIES WILL CLEAR OVERNIGHT AND WINDS WILL TURN MORE SOUTHERLY
FOR TOMORROW. WINDS WILL PICK UP TOMORROW AT AROUND 8-12 KTS
WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO AROUND 20 KTS.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...HICKFORD
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