629
FXUS63 KPAH 091706
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1206 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS (30-50%) ARE IN THE FORECAST
FOR FRIDAY MAINLY AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF THE OHIO RIVER.
- UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH CHANCES OF
STORMS (30-50%) BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1202 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR 18Z TAFS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 113 AM CDT THU APR 9 2026
THE QUAD STATE STARTS OUT UNDER ZONAL FLOW WHILE TROUGHING
LIFTS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH FRIDAY. SURFACE RIDGING
EXTENDS FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC INTO THE SOUTHEAST US. A FRONT
THAT EXTENDS FROM ONTARIO SOUTH INTO THE OHIO VALLEY WILL
EVENTUALLY GETS PUSHED SOUTH INTO THE AREA FRIDAY THEN SLOWS
DOWN AND LIFTS BACK NORTH ON SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S
TODAY WILL WARM INTO THE 80S FRIDAY AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH
SOUTHERLY FLOW AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING.
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG THE FRONT FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION
CONTINUES TO BE FOCUSED NORTH AND WEST OF THE OHIO RIVER. THE
LREF CONTINUES TO PAINT AN AREA FROM ROUGHLY EVV TO MDH AND
POINTS NORTH WITH 30-50% CHANCES OF GREATER THAN 0.1" OF
PRECIPITATION. THE NBM IS SIMILAR IF NOT A BIT FURTHER SOUTH
WITH THIS LINE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH
WILL BE POSSIBLE. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. PRECIPITATION
CHANCES LINGER ON SATURDAY WITH THE BOUNDARY.
LATE WEEKEND FEATURES A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DEVELOPING
OVERHEAD WITH TROUGHING ACROSS THE WEST. THIS KEEPS US DRY AND
WARMER WITH HIGHS ON SUNDAY IN THE LOW TO MID 80S. WE WILL
REMAIN IN THIS WARMER PATTERN INTO NEXT WEEK WITH THE UPPER
TROUGH OUT WEST MAKING ITS WAY ACROSS THE ROCKIES BY TUESDAY.
UNSETTLED WEATHER LOOKS LIKELY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS SEVERAL
PERTURBATIONS MOVE THROUGH INCREASING SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1202 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. SKC THIS
AFTERNOON WILL GIVE WAY TO INCREASING HIGH CLOUD OVERNIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING, EVENTUALLY BECOMING MID CLOUD IN THE NORTHWEST.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS OF
15-22 KTS. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO AROUND 5-8 KTS THIS EVENING
INTO OVERNIGHT BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN FRIDAY MORNING WITH 15-20
KT GUSTS EXPECTED. ANY -SHRA SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER 18Z TO
ENTER OUR NORTHWEST TOMORROW.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
UPDATE...SP
DISCUSSION...AD
AVIATION...SP
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page