990
FXUS63 KPAH 301708
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1208 PM CDT THU APR 30 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE PROJECTED TO REMAIN THROUGH THE
WEEKEND WITH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AROUND 10 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL; TEMPERATURES THEN MODERATE FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT
WEEK.
- A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IS FORECAST IN THE NORTH TONIGHT,
ALONG WITH HIGHER CHANCES OF SHOWERS IN THE NORTH/EAST SUNDAY
NIGHT, BUT MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWER/STORM ACTIVITY HOLDS OFF
UNTIL TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 238 AM CDT THU APR 30 2026
A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING ACROSS MOST OF THE COUNTRY WILL RESULT
IN CONTINUED BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND FOR
THE QUAD STATE. WINDS ARE GENERALLY LIGHT WITH NORTHERLY
COMPONENTS THROUGH SATURDAY. UPPER LOW PRESSURE IS POSITIONED IN
ONTARIO WITH SMALLER DISTURBANCES ROUNDING THE BASE. A FAIRLY
MOISTURE STARVED COLD FRONT TONIGHT BRINGS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO THE NORTH. A SECOND UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING
THROUGH SATURDAY IS GENERALLY CONSIDERED DRY IN MOST MODELS.
A RETURN TO MORE SOUTHERLY FLOW AND THE BEGINNING OF A WARMING
TREND COMMENCES SUNDAY. THE NBM SEEMS TO BE OVERLY DISMISSIVE
OF RAINFALL POTENTIAL SUNDAY NIGHT (10-25%), SO POPS HAVE BEEN
ADJUSTED UPWARDS CLOSER TO THE LREF (20-50%), THOUGH QPF ONLY
RISES TO AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH IN THE FAR NORTH.
A PATTERN SHIFT EARLY NEXT WEEK PLACES HIGH PRESSURE IN THE
SOUTHEAST AND TRACKS IMPULSES THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY,
JOINED BY GULF MOISTURE, ALLOWING FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DURING THE TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY TIMEFRAME.
TEMPERATURES RISE EARLY NEXT WEEK, ESPECIALLY THE LOWS, AS
BREEZES KEEP OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES ELEVATED. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
AROUND AN INCH ARE FORECAST, THOUGH ADJUSTMENTS ARE POSSIBLE.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1208 PM CDT THU APR 30 2026
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME VERY LIGHT THIS AFTERNOON AND
REMAIN SO UNTIL A COLD FRONT SWEEPS THOUGH EARLY TOMORROW
MORNING. A BRIEF SHOWER IS POSSIBLE THE FURTHER NORTH YOU GO BUT
PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED AREA-WIDE.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ATL
AVIATION...JGG
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