483
FXUS63 KPAH 051825
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
125 PM CDT FRI JUN 5 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY WITH INCREASING
WARMTH AND HUMIDITY.
- HUMID AND UNSETTLED WEATHER IS FORECAST SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY, WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY (50-80%) EACH
DAY. THERE IS A 50-70% CHANCE OF AT LEAST ONE INCH OF RAIN
FALLING DURING THIS PERIOD.
- DRIER, BUT HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL ARRIVE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL APPROACH OR EXCEED 100
DEGREES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 125 PM CDT FRI JUN 5 2026
THE WELCOMED QUIET AND COMFORTABLE WEATHER WE HAVE SEEN COMES TO
AN END OVER THE WEEKEND. CONTINUED SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING A
WARMING TREND ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. UNSETTLED WEATHER ARRIVES LATE THIS WEEKEND AND INTO
NEXT WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE LIFTS OUT OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. CAN'T RULE OUT A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS OR STORMS
ON SATURDAY BUT BELIEVE MUCH OF THE AREA WILL REMAIN DRY.
HIGHER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS (50-80%) ARRIVE SUNDAY
INTO TUESDAY ASSOCIATED WITH THE PASSAGE OF AN UPPER TROUGH AND
DIFFUSE FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTERACTING WITH A MOIST AIRMASS. POPS
THEN TREND DOWN AND FURTHER EAST INTO WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED THE REST OF THE WEEK AS RIDGING DEVELOPS
ALOFT. INCREASINGLY HUMID CONDITIONS ARRIVE DURING THIS TIME AS
WELL GIVEN THE INCREASED MOISTURE IN PLACE. HIGH TEMPERATURES
IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S WILL WORK WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE
LOW TO MID 70S TO PRODUCE HEAT INDICES INTO THE UPPER 90S TO LOW
100S.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1223 PM CDT FRI JUN 5 2026
VFR EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. S TO SW WINDS 8-12 KNOTS
CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON WITH SOME GUSTS UP TO 20 KNOTS AT
TIMES. WINDS RELAX TONIGHT TO AROUND 4-6 KNOTS. GENERALLY
EXPECT FEW TO SCT HIGH LEVEL BASES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH SOME
AFTERNOON CU WITH BASES AROUND TO AROUND 8KFT.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
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