972
FXUS63 KPAH 020618
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
118 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DUE TO CLOUD COVER AND DRIZZLE/SHOWER POTENTIAL HIGHS MAY
STRUGGLE TO REACH 80 IN SOME PLACES AGAIN TODAY AND COULD
APPROACH RECORD COLD HIGHS AGAIN.
- 90 DEGREE HIGHS RETURN BY THE WEEKEND WITH HEAT INDICES
PUSHING INTO THE LOW 100S ONCE AGAIN BY SUNDAY, IF NOT SOONER.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 116 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2026
MODELS HAVE THE MAIN SFC LOW SPLITTING AND LIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
TODAY WHILE THE WEAKER SFC LOW MOVES OVER EAST KY. LINGERING LOW
CLOUD COVER TODAY WILL KEEP HIGHS DOWN ONCE AGAIN AND NEAR RECORD
COLD HIGH TERRITORY UNLESS WE CAN BREAK OUT FOR A FEW HOURS. THERE
IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR LINGERING DRIZZLE AND/OR LIGHT SHOWERS.
WHILE THERE IS SOME INSTABILITY PRESENT TODAY, IT'S DOUBTFUL
ANYTHING THAT FORMS WILL BE ROBUST ENOUGH FOR THUNDER.
AT THIS POINT, MONDAY AND TUESDAY ARE MAINLY DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES OVER THE GREAT LAKES. WE'LL SEE CLEARING CONDITIONS AND RISING
TEMPERATURES TO START THE WEEK WITH HIGHS BACK TO THE MID 80S BY
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTHEAST WILL BRING BACK SOUTHERLY
FLOW BY WEDNESDAY. A FEW SHORTWAVES ALOFT ARE PROGGED TO ROLL
THROUGH ON THURSDAY, FRIDAY, AND SATURDAY LEADING TO SOME WEAK
(~20%) AFTERNOON RAIN CHANCES. THE SOUTHEAST SFC HIGH AND A SFC
FRONT POSITIONED TO OUR NORTH SHOULD KEEP THESE CHANCES FAIRLY WEAK
AND SUPPRESSED. BY FRIDAY TEMPERATURES ARE PUSHING 90 AGAIN AND INTO
THE LOWER 90S OVER THE WEEKEND. WITH DEW POINTS IN THE MID 70S (OR
HIGHER) AGAIN BY LATE WEEK, HEAT INDICES PUSH INTO THE 100-105
DEGREE RANGE BY SUNDAY, IF NOT SOONER.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 545 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
AS THE PRIMARY CYCLONE ROTATES ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY THIS
FORECAST PACKAGE, EXPECT A POTPOURRI OF LOW CLOUDS/CIGS WITH
RESTRICTIONS TO IFR, EVEN LIFR POTENTIALLY, AS WELL AS SCATTERED
POCKETS OF LIGHT PCPN RESTRICTING VSBYS TO MVFR, PERHAPS IFR AT
TIMES. SOME GRADUAL/MARGINAL IMPROVEMENT/LIFTING OF BASES MAY
OCCUR DURING THE PLANNING PHASE HOURS OF THE FORECAST, BUT
SHOWERS/TEMPORARY LOWERING OF BASES/VSBYS WILL STILL BE
POSSIBLE.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...HICKFORD
AVIATION...
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page