989
FXUS63 KPAH 241715
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1215 PM CDT MON AUG 24 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- PATCHY FOG IS LESS LIKELY TUESDAY MORNING, WITH ONLY A 20% CHANCE.
- A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MID-
WEEK, PEAKING AT A 20-30% CHANCE WEDNESDAY EVENING AND
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
- HOT TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY LEVELS BUILD OVER NEXT WEEKEND
WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES NEARING THE TRIPLE DIGITS BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1214 PM CDT MON AUG 24 2026
SFC HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER THE OHIO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON,
PROVIDING AMPLE SUNSHINE WITH COMFORTABLE HUMIDITY LEVELS.
INCREASING SCATTERED MID-LEVEL CLOUD COVERAGE TONIGHT COMBINED WITH
A SUBTLE INCREASE IN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
SHOULD KEEP ANY PATCHY FOG FAIRLY SPARSE. BY WEDNESDAY,
TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO MORE SEASONABLE WITH INCREASING
HUMIDITY LEVELS AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH.
RECENT RUNS OF THE GFS/EC HAVE TRENDED MORE SOUTH WITH THE
BOUNDARY THAT WOULD FAVOR AN ELEVATED COMPLEX OF STORMS
REMAINING FOCUSED ACROSS AR/TN DURING THE MORNING HOURS. NBM
POPS ARE NOW LOWER AS A RESULT, BUT STILL PEAK AT A 20-30%
CHANCE WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF A
WEAK COLD FRONT ON THURSDAY. LOW CHANCES RETURN OVER THE
KENTUCKY PENNYRILE THURSDAY AFTERNOON, WITH A SLIGHT DROP IN
HUMIDITY LEVELS BEING THE ONLY RELIEF ON FRIDAY.
MORE SIGNIFICANT LEVELS OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY BUILD
NEXT WEEKEND AS A 594 DM SOUTHEAST RIDGE CAUSES HEIGHT RISES
ALOFT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. BY NEXT MONDAY, 850 MB TEMPS WILL BE
PUSHING 20C WHICH TRANSLATES TO HIGHS IN THE MID 90S WITH HEAT
INDEX VALUES NEARING THE TRIPLE DIGITS ONCE AGAIN.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1214 PM CDT MON AUG 24 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION WITH ABUNDANT SUNSHINE.
LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 KTS TURN MORE VARIABLE
TONIGHT. MID-LEVEL CLOUDS AROUND 10 KFT AGL WILL HELP TO MITIGATE
PATCHY FOG CONCERNS TUESDAY MORNING, WITH ONLY A 20% CHANCE OF
ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT IMPACTING THE TERMINALS.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...DW
AVIATION...DW
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