331
FXUS63 KPAH 262230
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
530 PM CDT WED AUG 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- THERE ARE SMALL CHANCES (15 TO 35%) OF SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING, THEN DRY CONDITIONS WILL
RETURN LATE TONIGHT AND PERSIST THE REST OF THIS WEEK INTO
NEXT WEEK.
- SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY, THEN
ABOVE NORMAL READINGS ARRIVE SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 530 PM CDT WED AUG 26 2026
UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 122 PM CDT WED AUG 26 2026
MODELS SLOWLY BRING A WEAK COLD FRONT INTO OUR REGION THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, GENERATING A SMATTERING OF CONVECTION
MAINLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MODEL BLEND
PRODUCES CHANCES IN THE 15-35% RANGE, WITH THE HIGHER CHANCES
MORE FOCUSED ACROSS OUR EASTERN HALF OF COUNTIES THIS EVENING.
MANY AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY, BUT LOCATIONS THAT SEE THUNDERSTORMS
MAY SEE BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL.
BEHIND THE FRONT, DRIER AIR WILL BE SLOW TO ARRIVE, FINALLY
FILTERING INTO OUR REGION BY THURSDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN FAIRLY SEASONABLE THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY, BUT THE
LOWER HUMIDITY WILL MAKE IT FEEL A LITTLE MORE COMFORTABLE.
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTH SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT,
RESULTING IN A WARMING TREND SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S SUNDAY, AND THE
MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. DEW POINTS THROUGH
THIS PERIOD WILL MAX OUT AROUND 70 DEGREES, KEEPING THE HEAT
FROM BEING TOO OPPRESSIVE THIS TIME AROUND.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 530 PM CDT WED AUG 26 2026
MODELS ARE TRENDING TOWARD A NON-ZERO BUT LOW ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE
FROM MENTION POP WRT THE FRONT'S APPROACH TONIGHT, BUT DID
MAINTAIN AT LEAST A VICINITY MENTION FOR POTENTIAL RESTRICTED
BASES/SHOWERS NORTH (KMVN-KEVV-KOWB). ALSO INCLUDED FOR ALL
TERMINALS A MENTION OF RESTRICTIONS TO VSBYS IN PATCHY PRE DAWN
FOG, THEN A BENIGN WX DAY IS EXPECTED IN THE POST FRONTAL
ENVIRON TMRW WITH LIGHT NORTHERLIES BEHIND THE FRONT AND
POTENTIAL FOR SCT-BKN DIURNAL VFR BASES ACCORDING TO
TIME/HEIGHT CROSS SECTIONAL ANALYSIS.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
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