236  
FNUS73 KPAH 311038  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CROWLEYS BURN...MDC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
538 AM CDT MON AUG 31 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CDT ON AUGUST 31.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT  
FRIDAY...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW AND INCREASING MIXING WILL YIELD IMPROVED  
DISPERSION TO START OFF THE WEEK FOR MOST OF THE REGION. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE AROUND 30-40% EACH AFTERNOON.  
THERE IS A 30-40% CHANCE OF A WETTING RAIN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY,  
BUT COVERAGE LOOKS TO BE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AT BEST.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MAX 96.  
RH..................87 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /2900 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR  
/59900 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............71 71 74 79 85 89 92 94 95 96 96 95  
RH..............87 87 82 72 59 54 47 43 40 38 38 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 8 10 12 13 13 12 12 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.5 3.1 4.7 5.2 5.8 6.0 6.1 5.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 9 10 12 13 13 12 12 12 10 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 4 8 15 34 51 52 58 60 55 47  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 72.  
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3300 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............94 91 85 83 81 80 78 77 76 75 74 73  
RH..............41 45 59 65 69 72 76 79 82 82 84 87  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7 6 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 4  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 96.  
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (52300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............73 72 76 80 87 91 93 94 95 95 96 95  
RH..............87 90 82 72 57 50 46 43 40 40 39 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 3 5 5 7 8 8 8 8 8 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.9 3.7 5.1 6.3 6.1 6.5 6.3 5.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 2 3 7 13 26 36 44 43 52 51 40  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...WITTEN  
REQUESTED BY...CALEB STEWART  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2620968.0/PAH  
.DELDT 08/31/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CALEB.STEWART@MDC.MO.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab KY Page
The Nexlab IL Page
The Nexlab IN Page
The Nexlab MO Page Main Text Page