426
FXUS63 KPAH 030540
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1240 AM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SEASONABLY NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR
THE WEEKEND THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK, WITH A WARMING TREND
LATE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1240 AM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026
PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED ACROSS THE QUAD STATE AT THIS TIME. LOW
CLOUDS REMAIN IN SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF WESTERN KENTUCKY. DESPITE
THE HEAVY RAINFALL FRIDAY, SUFFICIENT SURFACE WINDS DURING THE
NIGHT SHOULD KEEP VISIBILITY DECREASES MINIMAL. TODAY, HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AREA, KEEPING
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE QUAD STATE AND LIMITING HIGHS TO
THE MID-70S. WHILE CLOUDS MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST, THE FRONT
AND BETTER PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL WILL BE ACROSS TN OR FURTHER
SOUTH, RESULTING IN A DRY FORECAST FOR THE ENTIRE QUAD STATE. ON
SUNDAY, A SECOND COLD FRONT REINFORCES DRY COOLER AIR AS A
BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TOWARDS THE MIDWEST FROM THE
NORTHERN PLAINS.
DRY WEATHER AND HIGH PRESSURE IS FAVORED FOR THE ENTIRE WORKWEEK
AHEAD. THE COOLEST MORNINGS WILL BE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH
MORNING LOWS IN THE 40S. A RIDGE AXIS MOVES THROUGH TUESDAY
WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR A BIT MORE OF A SOUTHERLY FLOW AFTERWARDS,
AND A SLOW WARMING TREND AS A SUBSEQUENT RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE
QUAD STATE LATE WEEK. MODELS POINT TOWARDS LATE NEXT WEEKEND AS
THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 943 PM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
VERY TRICKY FORECAST WITH REGARDS TO CLOUD COVER. ON SATELLITE
WE ARE CURRENTLY CLEARING OUT MORE THAN WAS EXPECTED, HOWEVER
THERE IS STILL THE CHANCE FOR MOISTURE TO OVERRUN THE FRONT
TOMORROW MORNING AND GIVEN THE LIGHT WINDS, CLOUDS MAY BUILD
BACK IN OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA. RIGHT NOW CONFIDENCE IN
CLOUDS BUILDING BACK OVER CGI AND EVV ARE LOWER CONFIDENCE, SO
HAVE ONLY HINTED AT THE POSSIBILITY IN THE TAFS. WHERE SKIES
HAVE CLEARED TONIGHT WINDS SHOULD STAY UP ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE ANY
SIGNIFICANT FOG DEVELOPMENT, BUT THIS COULD LEAD TO MORE OF A
LOW STRATUS SITUATION WHICH FURTHER COMPLICATES THE FORECAST
POSSIBILITIES.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ATL
AVIATION...HICKFORD
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