571
FXUS63 KPAH 031719
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1219 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SEASONABLY NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR
THE WEEKEND THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK, WITH A WARMING TREND
LATE WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1219 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026
UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR THE 18Z TAF ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1240 AM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026
PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED ACROSS THE QUAD STATE AT THIS TIME. LOW
CLOUDS REMAIN IN SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF WESTERN KENTUCKY. DESPITE
THE HEAVY RAINFALL FRIDAY, SUFFICIENT SURFACE WINDS DURING THE
NIGHT SHOULD KEEP VISIBILITY DECREASES MINIMAL. TODAY, HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AREA, KEEPING
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE QUAD STATE AND LIMITING HIGHS TO
THE MID-70S. WHILE CLOUDS MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST, THE FRONT
AND BETTER PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL WILL BE ACROSS TN OR FURTHER
SOUTH, RESULTING IN A DRY FORECAST FOR THE ENTIRE QUAD STATE. ON
SUNDAY, A SECOND COLD FRONT REINFORCES DRY COOLER AIR AS A
BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TOWARDS THE MIDWEST FROM THE
NORTHERN PLAINS.
DRY WEATHER AND HIGH PRESSURE IS FAVORED FOR THE ENTIRE WORKWEEK
AHEAD. THE COOLEST MORNINGS WILL BE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH
MORNING LOWS IN THE 40S. A RIDGE AXIS MOVES THROUGH TUESDAY
WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR A BIT MORE OF A SOUTHERLY FLOW AFTERWARDS,
AND A SLOW WARMING TREND AS A SUBSEQUENT RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE
QUAD STATE LATE WEEK. MODELS POINT TOWARDS LATE NEXT WEEKEND AS
THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1216 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026
AS THE COLD FRONT THAT BROUGHT FRIDAY'S RAIN EXITS THE REGION TO
THE SOUTH, ONGOING LOW STRATUS NEAR THE KY/TN AND MO/AR BORDERS
WILL DIMINISH. SOME ADDITIONAL LIGHT FOG AND FEW-SCT LOW STRATUS
BASES ARE POSSIBLE AROUND DAYBREAK SUNDAY AT CGI AND PAH BEFORE
LIFTING AROUND 13Z.
WINDS WILL BE STEADY FROM THE NE AROUND 9-12 KTS THIS AFTERNOON,
RELAXING TO AROUND 3-5 KTS OVERNIGHT. A WEAK/DRY FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY MORNING,
BRINGING A SHIFT TO N WINDS AROUND 4-7 KTS.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
UPDATE...DWS
DISCUSSION...ATL
AVIATION...DWS
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