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FXUS63 KPAH 041714
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1214 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TODAY THROUGH THE WEEK AHEAD.
- NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY AND EARLY WEEK WILL SLOWLY WARM
FOR LATER IN THE WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1212 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026
UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR THE 18Z TAF ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 130 AM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026
DRY CONDITIONS AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TODAY. A DRY
COLD FRONT PROVIDES REINFORCING NORTHERLY FLOW AND SOME HIGH
CLOUDS THIS MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES EASTWARD THROUGH THE
MIDWEST EARLY WEEK, WITH A RIDGE AXIS MOVING THROUGH TUESDAY.
THE HIGH EVENTUALLY SETS UP TO OUR EAST MID-LATE WEEK, WHICH
WILL ALLOW FOR A MORE SOUTHERLY COMPONENT TO WINDS LOCALLY.
TEMPERATURES SLOWLY WARM MID TO LATE WEEK WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW
WITH LATE WEEK HIGHS INTO THE 80S.
MODELS ARE IN STRONG ALIGNMENT ON DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH AT
LEAST FRIDAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES ONLY RETURN NEXT WEEKEND,
WITH MODELS FAVORING THE DEEP SOUTH FOR RAIN CHANCES BUT
DIFFERING STRONGLY ON THE TYPE OF SYSTEM, SO CONTINUED
MONITORING WILL BE NEEDED.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1212 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026
THE TAFS ARE VFR. UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES, WINDS WILL BE STEADY
FROM THE N TO NE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS AFTERNOON
WINDS WILL BE SUSTAINED AROUND 6-10 KTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15
KTS POSSIBLE AT CGI AND PAH. TONIGHT, WINDS WILL RELAX TO 2-4
KTS, THEN INCREASE FROM THE NE AFTER 15Z MONDAY AROUND 5-10 KTS.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
UPDATE...DWS
DISCUSSION...ATL
AVIATION...DWS
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