137
FXUS63 KPAH 110006
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
706 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THE REMNANTS OF ISAIAS HAVE DECREASED.
THE HIGHEST TOTALS EXPECTED ARE AROUND 0.5" IN THE SOUTHEAST
PENNYRILE AND DECREASE AS YOU GO NORTH AND WEST.
- TEMPERATURES RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL TOMORROW THROUGH THURSDAY.
THERE IS A DECENT CHANCE OF RECORD HIGHS ON TUESDAY, AND
POSSIBLY SOME RECORD WARM LOWS.
- 20-50% RAIN CHANCES RETURN ON WEDNESDAY AND GRADUALLY DECREASE
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 640 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR THE 00Z TAFS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 211 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
REMNANTS OF ISAIAS ARE SLOWLY MAKING THEIR WAY INTO AND THROUGH
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA TODAY AND TONIGHT. WIND GUST POTENTIAL
HAS CONTINUED TO TREND DOWN SLIGHTLY W/GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH POSSIBLE.
RAIN TOTALS HAVE TRENDED DOWN AS WELL. THE HIGHEST TOTALS ARE AROUND
0.5" OVER THE SOUTHEAST PENNYRILE AND DECREASE AS YOU MOVE NORTH AND
WEST. RAIN WILL TAPER OFF WEST TO EAST OVERNIGHT. SKIES WILL ALSO
CLEAR WEST TO EAST TOMORROW THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
WARMER TEMPERATURES RETURN WITH THE CLEARING SKIES TOMORROW AND WILL
REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THURSDAY. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF
RECORD HIGHS ON TUESDAY (THE WARMEST DAY OF THE WEEK) AND EVEN SOME
RECORD WARM LOWS. THE PATTERN THEN BECOMES MORE UNSETTLED MID TO
LATE WEEK. 20-50% RAIN CHANCES RETURN WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE IN A
GRADUAL DECLINE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. A COLD FRONT LOOKS TO COME
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND BRINGS TEMPERATURES BACK DOWN FOR THE
WEEKEND CLOSER TO NORMAL.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 640 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
REMNANTS OF ISAIAS ARE CONTINUING TO WORK THEIR WAY THROUGH THE
AREA TONIGHT. SHOWERS MAY IMPACT PAH, EVV, AND OWB FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS. WITH THESE SHOWERS, LOWER CLOUD HEIGHTS ARE
EXPECTED, BRINGING MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS TO THESE SITES, AS
WELL AS SOME GUSTIER WINDS. ADDITIONALLY, WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
SHIFT FROM THE NE TO A MORE N/NW DIRECTION THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD. THIS MORNING, CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO CLEAR FROM WEST TO
EAST WITH CLEAR SKIES PREVAILING BY THE AFTERNOON FOR ALL
SITES.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
UPDATE...AZ
DISCUSSION...HICKFORD
AVIATION...AZ
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