659
FXUS63 KPAH 141942
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
242 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- RAIN CHANCES HAVE DECREASED FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT.
TOMORROW'S CHANCES ARE MORE LIMITED TO THE NORTHWESTERN MOST
PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
- A FEW OF TOMORROW'S STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE AND ARE
LIMITED TO MAINLY THE NORTHERN MOST PORTIONS OF THE CWA.
- COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. FRIDAY WILL ALSO BE BREEZY WITH
NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 MPH AT TIMES.
- SUNDAY KICKS OFF A WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS RETURNING BACK TO
AROUND OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL BY MID WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 241 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW. A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY IS SLOWLY SAGGING SOUTH THROUGH THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SOUTH THIS
EVENING AND SHOULD END UP SOUTH OF THE CWA BY THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
IT WILL THEN LIFT BACK NORTH THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW. THE REMAINDER
OF TODAY LOOKS DRIER THAN ORIGINALLY FORECAST WITH DRY AIR
INFILTRATING THE MID LEVELS. SOME REDEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT UNCERTAINTY IS HIGHER DUE TO THE
MODELS NOT PICKING UP ON THE CURRENT SITUATION VERY WELL. SOME
SHOWERS AND STORMS COULD FORM ALONG AND NORTH OF THE FRONT
TOMORROW. A SMALL PORTION OF THE AREAS INCLUDING OUR NORTHERN
MOST COUNTIES COULD SEE A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH THE
MAIN THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS.
TOMORROW NIGHT A COLD FRONT COMES THROUGH AND BRINGS COOLER AND
BREEZIER CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY. DUE TO CLOUD COVER AND A STRONGER
COLD AIR ADVECTION SIGNAL, HAVE LOWERED HIGHS SLIGHTLY FOR FRIDAY.
FRIDAY'S HIGHS LOOK TO BE IN THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S WITH BREEZY
NORTHWEST WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH (MAINLY FOR NORTHWEST
PORTIONS OF THE AREA WITH LESSER GUSTS ELSEWHERE). SATURDAY HIGHS
LOOK TO BE IN THE 60S BUT SATURDAY NIGHT LOWS COULD BE IN THE 30S
AND COULD BRING A FIRST FROST FOR THE SEASON. SUNDAY THEN KICKS OFF
A WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS COMING BACK UP TO AROUND NORMAL OR EVEN
SLIGHTLY ABOVE BY MIDWEEK.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1245 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE TO LINGER AROUND EVV, OWB AND CGI FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS BRINGING MVFR CONDITIONS TO THOSE SITES.
CLOUDS MAY GET BACK TO VFR IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS BUT WILL LIKELY
DROP RIGHT BACK DOWN INTO MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS WITH SOME RAIN
SHOWERS AND FOG POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. CLOUD HEIGHTS SHOULD
INCREASE TOMORROW MORNING BACK TO VFR HEIGHTS ONCE THE LINGERING
SHOWERS PASS. WINDS WILL REMAIN VARIABLE (0-7KTS) THROUGH THE
PERIOD AS IT SHIFTS FROM THE WEST TO THE E/NE AND THEN BACK TO
THE S/SE BY THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...HICKFORD
AVIATION...AZ
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