804  
FNUS76 KPDT 120534  
FWSPDT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG HOLE FIRE...US FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR  
1034 PM PDT THU SEP 11 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 12.  
***THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS***  
***WINDS ARE 20 FOOT 10-MINUTE AVERAGES***  
***CWR-CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 OR GREATER***  
***VENTILATION INDEX IS DERIVED FROM THE  
TRANSPORT WIND MULTIPLIED BY THE MIXING  
HEIGHT IN 100'S OF FEET. INDEX CATEGORIES  
ARE A GENERALIZED INDICATOR ONLY.***  
 
IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, PLEASE  
CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (541) 276-8134.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
A WARMING, DRYING TREND IS ANTICIPATED FRIDAY THROUGH  
SATURDAY AS A BRIEF RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE PACIFIC  
NORTHWEST. WINDS WILL BE DIURNALLY AND TERRAIN-DRIVEN AND MOSTLY  
LIGHT. OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TO BE EXCELLENT. CHANCES OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE VERY LOW (<10%) WITH MOST ACTIVITY  
EXPECTED FARTHER EAST OVER THE BLUE MOUNTAINS. A LOW-PRESSURE  
SYSTEM WILL LIKELY (>80% CHANCE) ARRIVE OVER THE REGION BY SATURDAY  
NIGHT, USHERING IN COOLER, SHOWERY CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.3 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........DRAINAGE WINDS 2-5 MPH EARLY MORNING, BECOMING  
UPSLOPE WINDS 2-5 MPH LATE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5500-6000 FT AGL BY AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....VARIABLE 3-6 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (30) INCREASING TO POOR (150) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............42 42 45 52 56 61 65 68 71 71 73 72  
RH..............98 97 93 85 75 65 57 52 46 43 40 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW W W W S S S W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 8 8 8  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.1 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-42.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........DRAINAGE WINDS 2-5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO NEAR SURFACE OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6-8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
4-6 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (140) DECREASING TO POOR (30) OVERNIGHT.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.2 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........DRAINAGE WINDS 2-5 MPH EARLY MORNING, BECOMING  
UPSLOPE BY MID-MORNING, THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST  
TO WEST 4-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7500-8000 FT AGL BY AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 2-4 MPH EARLY MORNING, BECOMING  
SOUTHWEST 6-9 MPH BY LATE MORNING.  
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (30) INCREASING TO FAIR (470) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 

 
FORECASTER...PLUNKETT  
REQUESTED BY...ELLA NICHOLS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2521851.0/PDT  
.DELDT 09/12/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ELLA.NICHOLS12@GMAIL.COM,THOMAS.ALVUT@USDA.GOV  
 
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