413
FXUS66 KPDT 262329
AFDPDT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
429 PM PDT SUN OCT 26 2025
UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION
AVIATION...00Z TAFS
VARIABLE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE,
ESPECIALLY AT PDT AND ALW, AS LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS FALL ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA, BUT THE EXPECTATION IS THAT VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS EVENING AND INTO MONDAY AS THIS ROUND
OF RAIN SHOWERS MOVES OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA. WINDS WILL BE
BREEZY THIS EVENING, GUSTING OUT OF THE W/SW FOR MANY SITES UP TO
30 KTS, BEFORE LIGHTER, TERRAIN-DRIVEN WINDS PREVAIL BY EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. CIGS BKN-OVC AROUND 5-10 KFT FOR MOST SITES
THROUGH THE EVENING, BEFORE CLEARING AND BECOMING SCT MID-LEVEL
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BY TOMORROW. 74
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 333 PM PDT SUN OCT 26 2025/
DISCUSSION...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY: BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE AND
RADAR IMAGERY, A FRONTAL SYSTEM IS SWEEPING ACROSS THE WA/OR
CASCADES, FOOTHILLS OF THE NORTHERN BLUES-OR AND THE LOWER COLUMBIA
BASIN WITH BREEZY WINDS AND RAIN SHOWERS. MOUNTAIN SNOW WILL
CONTINUE TO LINGER THIS EVENING THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING WITH SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 8 INCHES (>70% CHANCE). THE RAW ENSEMBLES DO
FAVOR A 40-50% PROBABILITY FOR THE NORTHERN BLUES OF WA/OR REACHING
TO 5 INCHES OVERNIGHT. ADDITIONAL SNOW MAY DEVELOP OVER THE CASCADES
BUT, MODELS HAVE SHOWN PRECIP ACTIVITY TO BE MOSTLY WET ALONG WITH
RELATIVELY WARMING TEMPERATURES THAT WOULD CAUSE ADDITIONAL SNOW TO
NOT STICK AROUND. THEREFORE, WE DECIDED TO NOT EXTEND THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORIES AND KEEP THEM IN EFFECT FOR THE WA/OR CASCADES
AND NORTHERN BLUES OF WA/OR UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING. BUT, THE
ADVISORY HAD TO PUSHED BACK TO 3PM THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE NORTHERN
BLUES OF OR/WA DUE TO A DELAYED ONSET FOR SNOWFALL BASED ON WEB
CAMERAS AND EARLIER OBSERVATIONS. THIS WEATHER SHOULD BEGIN TO
GRADUALLY CEASE AROUND THIS EVENING WITH LINGERING RAIN AND MOUNTAIN
SNOW AS THE TROUGHING PATTERN STARTS LEAVING OUR FORECAST AREA.
TOMORROW, WE MAY HAVE A BREAK WITH THE TROUGH LEAVING THE PACNW
AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE GRADUALLY BUILDS OVER THE PACNW TUESDAY.
THE UPPER SLOPES OF WA CASCADES MAY HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS (<30% CHANCE) ALONG WITH THE NORTHERN BLUES OF WA/OR
THROUGH TOMORROW EVENING, THOUGH THE REMAINING LOCATIONS WILL BE
DRY. DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AS WELL.
HOWEVER, A FRONTAL SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW OVER THE BC
COASTLINE THAT MIGHT SWEEP ALONG THE CASCADE GAPS. CONFIDENCE IS
LOW ON THE IMPACT (<20%).
GUSTY WINDS (25-35 MPH) WILL CONTINUE THROUGH OVERNIGHT AND OVER THE
CASCADE GAPS AND FOOTHILLS BLUES OF OR. BASED ON THE NBM CONUS,
THERE IS A 30-50% PROBABILITY FOR GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH OVER THE
AFOREMENTIONED AREAS. TOMORROW WILL HAVE LIGHT TO BREEZY CONDITIONS
IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS, THOUGH DECREASES LATER IN THE DAY. MAY SEE
GUSTY WINDS (20-30 MPH) RETURN TUESDAY EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE
EASTERN MOUNTAINS (40-60% PROB).
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY: THROUGH THURSDAY, DRY CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE PACNW. A ZONAL PATTERN
WILL ARRIVE FRIDAY ONWARD WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM RETURNING AN
UNSETTLED, WET PATTERN. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY BUT
COULD BECOME SLIGHTLY BREEZY STARTING FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND (30%
CONFIDENCE). FEASTER/97
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
PDT 36 54 32 58 / 70 10 0 0
ALW 38 53 35 55 / 90 10 0 10
PSC 36 57 31 54 / 40 10 0 0
YKM 29 55 30 50 / 20 0 10 20
HRI 36 57 31 55 / 40 10 0 0
ELN 28 51 26 47 / 40 10 10 20
RDM 24 51 26 63 / 30 0 0 0
LGD 31 49 26 53 / 90 20 0 0
GCD 28 49 28 57 / 80 0 0 0
DLS 39 57 38 55 / 50 20 10 20
PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM PDT MONDAY FOR ORZ502.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM PDT MONDAY FOR ORZ509.
WA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM PDT MONDAY FOR WAZ030.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR WAZ522.
SHORT TERM...97
LONG TERM....97
AVIATION...74
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