419  
FNUS76 KPDT 061204  
FWSPDT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR METWUI...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR  
504 AM PDT MON APR 6 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PDT ON APRIL 07.  
***THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS***  
***WINDS ARE 20 FOOT 10-MINUTE AVERAGES***  
***CWR-CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 OR GREATER***  
***VENTILATION INDEX IS DERIVED FROM THE  
TRANSPORT WIND MULTIPLIED BY THE MIXING  
HEIGHT IN 100'S OF FEET. INDEX CATEGORIES  
ARE A GENERALIZED INDICATOR ONLY.***  
 
IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, PLEASE  
CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (541) 276-8134.  
   
DISCUSSION  
A WEATHER SYSTEM PASSING TO THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING  
BREEZY CONDITIONS TO CENTRAL OREGON ON TUESDAY. FOR THE BURN SITE,  
SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME WESTERLY AND INCREASE IN  
MAGNITUDE BY 9-11 AM PDT TUESDAY. HOURLY PROBABILITIES OF EXCEEDING  
10 MPH WINDS ARE LOW (20 PERCENT OR LESS) PRIOR TO 9 AM, THEN INCREASE  
TO 40-60 PERCENT 10 AM THROUGH 4 PM. THE 24-HR PROBABILITY OF  
EXPERIENCING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 10 MPH OR GREATER ON TUESDAY IS HIGH  
(75 PERCENT). WILL NOTE THAT SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER WINDS OF 15-25 MPH  
WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE FORECAST ALONG EXPOSED RIDGELINES (ESPECIALLY GREEN  
RIDGE) SURROUNDING THE BURN SITE, BUT THOSE STRONGER SUSTAINED WINDS  
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO MIX DOWN ALONG THE METOLIUS RIVER.  
 
EYE-LEVEL WINDS FOR AN OPEN PONDEROSA PINE FOREST CAN BE ESTIMATED  
AS ROUGHLY 30 PERCENT AS STRONG AS WHAT IS OBSERVED AT THE 20-FT RAWS  
WIND LEVEL. THE FORECAST BELOW IS FOR 20-FT WIND.  
 
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-40 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-65.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-7 MPH EARLY MORNING, BECOMING  
WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 15-25 MPH BY  
MID-MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4800-5300 FT AGL BY AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH EARLY MORNING, INCREASING TO 20-25 MPH  
BY LATE MORNING.  
VENTILATION INDEX...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1000-1250) BY AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (PDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............43 48 57 61 62 60  
RH..............63 56 41 34 30 31  
20 FT WIND......SW 7 W 7 W 11 W 11 W 11 W 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 21 21 18 16  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5-8 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 10-15  
MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING DRAINAGE  
WINDS 1-4 MPH BY 8-9 PM PDT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 200-600 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH EARLY EVENING, BECOMING SOUTH  
TO SOUTHWEST AND DECREASING TO 4-8 MPH LATE  
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
VENTILATION INDEX...DECREASING TO POOR (20-50) OVERNIGHT.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-40 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-68.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........DRAINAGE WINDS 1-4 MPH EARLY MORNING, BECOMING  
WEST 5-8 MPH LATE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL BY AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH IN THE MORNING, INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENTILATION INDEX...INCREASING TO FAIR (400-480) BY AFTERNOON.  
 
 
FORECASTER...PLUNKETT  
REQUESTED BY...KIEL WOOD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2609051.0/PDT  
.DELDT 04/06/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KIEL.WOOD@USDA.GOV  
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