138  
FNUS76 KPDT 160159  
FWSPDT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LOWER DRY CREEK...ODF  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR  
659 PM PDT WED JUL 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 PDT ON JULY 15.  
***THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ***  
***WINDS ARE 20 FOOT 10-MINUTE AVERAGES ***  
***CWR: CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 OR GREATER ***  
***VENTILATION INDEX IS DERIVED FROM TRANSPORT WIND  
MULTIPLIED BY THE MIXING HEIGHT IN 100'S OF FT.  
CATEGORIES ARE A GENERALIZED INDICATOR ONLY:  
LOW (< 200), MODERATE (200-500), HIGH (500-700),  
AND VERY HIGH (> 700). ***  
 
IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, PLEASE  
CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (541) 276-8134.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT THURSDAY
 
   
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THURSDAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
A THREAT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING,  
WITH BEST CHANCES AFTER 2300 AND EXTENDING OVERNIGHT UNTIL 0800 ON  
THURSDAY. STORMS ARE APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST, WHICH WILL  
SHIFT WINDS FROM THE NORTH TO THE NORTHEAST BY 2000 AND FROM THE  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 2100. SOUTH WINDS WILL PERSIST AND SHIFT OUT OF  
THE NORTHWEST BY 1100 THURSDAY. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS IN AND  
AROUND THUNDERSTORMS, WITH OUTFLOW WINDS OF 40 MPH POSSIBLE.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). 10-15 PERCENT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, PRIMARILY  
AFTER 2300.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-67.  
MAX HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO  
8 MPH AFTER 3 AM. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 9 TO 10 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
VENTILATION INDEX...MODERATE (350) DECREASING TO LOW (40) OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM  
CHC OF LTNG (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............98 94 82 77 76 75 74 71 70 68 65 67  
RH..............19 23 32 38 38 39 40 42 45 49 53 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE S SE S SE S S S SW S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 10 10 10 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 11  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). 10-15 PERCENT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BEFORE 0800.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 100.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH LATE MORNING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9 TO  
13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENTILATION INDEX...LOW (100) INCREASING TO MODERATE (290) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.8 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-64.  
MAX HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH AFTER 2000.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12  
TO 14 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
VENTILATION INDEX...MODERATE (390) DECREASING TO LOW (70)  
OVERNIGHT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...CALLIHAN  
REQUESTED BY...GREG MELHORN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617436.1/PDT  
.DELDT 07/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GREG.G.MELHORN@ODF.OREGON.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab OR Page
The Nexlab WA Page Main Text Page