320  
FNUS76 KPDT 161902  
FWSPDT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHAPARRAL...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR  
1202 PM PDT THU JUL 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1200 PDT ON JULY 16.  
***THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ***  
***WINDS ARE 20 FOOT 10-MINUTE AVERAGES ***  
***CWR: CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 OR GREATER ***  
***VENTILATION INDEX IS DERIVED FROM TRANSPORT WIND  
MULTIPLIED BY THE MIXING HEIGHT IN 100'S OF FT.  
CATEGORIES ARE A GENERALIZED INDICATOR ONLY:  
LOW (< 200), MODERATE (200-500), HIGH (500-700),  
AND VERY HIGH (> 700). ***  
 
IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, PLEASE  
CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (541) 276-8134.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING  
ACROSS THE BLUE MOUNTAINS. THROUGH AFTERNOON, THERE IS A CHANCE (50 PERCENT)  
OF SHOWERS AND CHANCE (25 PERCENT) OF THUNDERSTORMS. ANY SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG, ERRATIC, AND  
GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS UP TO 50 MPH. THERE IS A VERY LOW CHANCE (10 PERCENT) OF  
ADDITIONAL HIGH-BASED SHOWERS OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY (35-75 PERCENT). CHANCE  
(50 PERCENT) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.25 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-90.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 4-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9000-9500 FT AGL BY MID-AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8-12 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...INCREASING TO VERY HIGH (900).  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY (10-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT  
CHANCE (15 PERCENT) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-64.  
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 2-5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
VARIABLE 1-4 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH WINDS 3-7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
VARIABLE 2-5 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 300-600 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6-8 MPH IN THE EVENING, BECOMING VARIABLE  
2-5 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
VENTILATION INDEX...DECREASING TO LOW (30) OVERNIGHT.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (0-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.1 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WINDS 1-5 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 12 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......VARIABLE WINDS 2-5 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5000-5500 FT AGL BY MID-AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH 5-7 MPH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...INCREASING TO MODERATE (300) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 

 
FORECASTER...PLUNKETT  
REQUESTED BY...IC EVRIDGE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617489.0/PDT  
.DELDT 07/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ORBMC@FIRENET.GOV  
 
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