534  
FNUS71 KPHI 182300  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKEWOOD COUNTRY CLUB...NJFFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
600 PM EST MON NOV 18 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 EST ON NOVEMBER 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SETTLE TO OUR SOUTH TONIGHT, THEN APPROACH  
AS A WARM FRONT LATER TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE  
AND AN ASSOCIATED STRONG FRONT CROSSES OUR REGION WEDNESDAY  
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WITH SOME MUCH NEEDED RAIN. AN AREA OF LOW  
PRESSURE SLOWLY MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHEAST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY  
WITH MUCH COLDER AIR, THEN IT MOVES INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES  
OVER THE WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE THEN ARRIVES FOR LATER SUNDAY  
AND ESPECIALLY MONDAY.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3500 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................5.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 3 MPH INCREASING TO UP  
TO 4 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (EST) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........15 14 13 12 12 11 10 13 15 18 21  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............53 51 49 47 46 45 44 43 42 41 40  
RH..............66 69 73 76 77 78 79 81 82 84 85  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 12 12 10 10 10 12 12 12 10  
ADI.............5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (15400 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................5 TO 22.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 4 MPH IN THE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........23 26 25 24 24 23 22 21 29 36 44 51  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............39 38 42 49 52 54 56 58 57 58 57 55  
RH..............87 89 77 60 54 51 48 45 47 46 48 52  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 3 3 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 3  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST. 5 5 4 4 4 3 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.2 1.9 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.5 1.2 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N NW NW NW NW W SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 8 9 8 7 6 6 7 6 6 5  
ADI.............7 7 6 14 19 19 16 17 22 18 9 5  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 3 10 14 14 12 13 15 13 6 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1100 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................2 TO 3.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........59 66 67 68 69 69 68 68 72 77 81 78  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............53 49 48 48 47 46 46 46 45 45 45 46  
RH..............56 66 68 71 74 76 76 76 79 79 79 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 2  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST. 2 2 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5  
ADI.............2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO 10  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1300 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................3 TO 18.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 3 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........74 71 69 68 66 66 67 67 68 69 70 74  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............46 47 50 53 56 58 59 61 60 60 59 58  
RH..............79 79 77 74 72 69 67 65 67 69 72 77  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 5 5 5 7 7 8 8 8 8  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N NE E E E E E E E E E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3  
EYE LVL WND GST. 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 9 10 10  
ADI.............4 3 3 7 11 13 15 17 15 18 17 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 1 3 5 8 9 11 12 13 12 11 9  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...MJL  
REQUESTED BY...TREVOR RAYNOR  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2426865.1/PHI  
.DELDT 11/18/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TREVOR.RAYNOR@DEP.NJ.GOV,DEALE.CAREY@DEP.NJ.GOV,WILLIAM.JUBERT@DEP.NJ.GOV,BRIAN.CORVINUS@DEP.NJ.GOV,HARRISON.LEWIS@DEP.NJ.GOV  
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