096  
FNUS71 KPHI 191110  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKEWOOD COUNTRY CLUB...NJFFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
610 AM EST TUE NOV 19 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 EST ON NOVEMBER 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE TODAY. HOWEVER, WINDS OF 5-10 MPH THIS  
MORNING, BECOMING LESS THAN 5 MPH THIS AFTERNOON, AND MINIMUM RHS  
RIGHT AROUND 40 PERCENT, SHOULD KEEP THE OVERALL RISK FOR FIRE  
SPREAD LOW. DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE TONIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY  
BEFORE MUCH NEEDED RAIN ARRIVES WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WITH  
A COLD FRONT.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NORTHWEST WINDS SHIFT TO FAVOR THE WEST-SOUTHWEST  
BY THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 6  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (16400 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................5 TO 22.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 4 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........21 18 16 16 16 19 26 39 48 50 58  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............43 44 48 52 55 57 58 59 60 58 56  
RH..............70 70 63 56 51 47 45 42 41 45 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7 6 5 5 5 5 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 9 8 7 6 6 5  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 1.2 1.8 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.6 1.0 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NW NW NW W W SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 9 8 6 6 5 6 5 5  
ADI.............7 7 13 21 22 17 17 14 17 6 5  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 4 9 14 16 13 14 11 13 4 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........LIGHT WINDS SHIFT FROM FAVORING A SOUTHWESTERLY  
DIRECTION TO A WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION OVERNIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
3 TO 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1200 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................2 TO 3.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........65 71 75 75 79 79 77 75 77 80 82 79  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............53 50 49 48 48 47 46 47 46 45 46 46  
RH..............54 63 66 68 71 74 76 74 76 79 76 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W NW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W SW W W W NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 5 5 3  
ADI.............2 2 3 3 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........LIGHT NORTH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE EAST LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1100 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................3 TO 17.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST UP TO 4 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........75 90 86 87 88 88 88 91 91 90 89 90  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............46 47 49 54 56 57 59 60 60 59 58 57  
RH..............79 78 78 69 66 62 60 60 62 64 69 77  
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 5 6 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST. 6 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 14 15 15  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N NE NE E E E E E E E E E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST. 4 4 4 5 5 6 7 8 8 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 3 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 12  
ADI.............3 3 4 3 6 7 9 12 13 17 17 16  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 2 2 4 5 8 10 11 11 11 11  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...AKL  
REQUESTED BY...TREVOR RAYNOR  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2426865.2/PHI  
.DELDT 11/19/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TREVOR.RAYNOR@DEP.NJ.GOV,WILLIAM.JUBERT@DEP.NJ.GOV,DEALE.CAREY@DEP.NJ.GOV,BRIAN.CORVINUS@DEP.NJ.GOV,HARRISON.LEWIS@DEP.NJ.GOV  
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