506  
FNUS71 KPHI 141850  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TROY MEADOWS...NJFFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
150 PM EST SAT DEC 14 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1400 EST ON DECEMBER 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE PROGRESSES EASTWARD ACROSS THE  
NORTHEASTERN U.S. BEFORE SHIFTING OFFSHORE SUNDAY NIGHT. A WEAK  
SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY, FOLLOWED BY  
ANOTHER SYSTEM LATER MONDAY INTO EARLY TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE  
LOOKS TO BUILD IN BRIEFLY LATER TUESDAY BEFORE ANOTHER LOW  
PRESSURE SYSTEM AFFECTS OUR REGION LATER WEDNESDAY INTO  
THURSDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 TO 45 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE EXPECTED  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS FAVORING A NORTHEAST DIRECTION.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (15000 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................6 TO 21.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
TIME (EST) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........1 1 0 0  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1  
TEMP............33 33 32 30  
RH..............44 46 50 53  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 6 6  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE NE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 2 2 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 2.8 1.9 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6  
ADI.............21 20 14 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15 14 10 4  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 19.  
MAX HUMIDITY........75 TO 80 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE EXPECTED  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS FAVORING A NORTHEAST DIRECTION.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2800 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................3 TO 4.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........1 1 4 3 10 23 20 9 13 19 13 19  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............28 24 24 23 22 22 21 21 21 21 21 20  
RH..............56 66 67 69 71 72 74 76 76 76 77 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE N NE NE NE NE N NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 3 5 6 6  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE NE N NE NE NE NE N NE NE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 3 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8  
ADI.............3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY  
CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 TO 55 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE EXPECTED.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (13600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................6 TO 19.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS AROUND 3 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........23 72 73 79 85 89 91 93 95 96 96 96  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............21 21 23 27 29 32 34 35 35 35 35 35  
RH..............79 71 65 57 55 53 54 56 59 61 61 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 8 7 7  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.4 1.0 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 9 9 10 9 8 9 9 9 9  
ADI.............8 6 8 14 16 19 18 14 16 14 12 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 5 6 9 11 13 12 11 14 11 8 7  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...HOEFLICH  
REQUESTED BY...M. MILLER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2428558.0/PHI  
.DELDT 12/14/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.FRANEK@DEP.NJ.GOV,NJFFSAPSC3@GMAIL.COM  
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