165
FXUS61 KPHI 210337
AFDPHI
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1037 PM EST THU FEB 20 2025
SYNOPSIS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW,
REMAINING IN CONTROL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE PATTERN TURNS MORE
UNSETTLED NEXT WEEK, THOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT SYSTEMS APPEAR TO BE ON
THE HORIZON.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS STILL
FILTERING THROUGH THE AREA. THESE WILL TAPER OFF AS DRIER AND
COLD AIR WILL BE RUSHING ACROSS THE REGION BEHIND THE DEEPENING
LOW OFFSHORE. SKIES WILL IMPROVE TO PARTLY/MOSTLY CLEAR LATE
TONIGHT. WINDS CONTINUE TO BE GUSTY OUT OF THE NW AROUND 20 TO
30 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS AND LOW 20S MOST
AREAS WITH WIND CHILLS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS BUT BELOW ZERO FOR
THE SOUTHERN POCONOS.
HIGH PRESSURE WELL WEST OF THE ARES WILL BEGIN TO BUILD OVER OUR
REGION FRIDAY. UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, COLD DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE AREA. GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE WITH GUSTS 30 TO 35 MPH
POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS EXPECTED
TO REACH THE LOW/MID 30S MOST AREAS. WINDS CHILLS MOSTLY IN THE 20S
WITH SINGLE DIGITS OR LOW TEENS FOR THE POCONOS.
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE IN FROM THE
WEST ON FRIDAY NIGHT, AND REMAIN IN CONTROL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THIS WILL RESULT IN A QUIET PERIOD OF WEATHER THIS WEEKEND AND
RELATIVELY PLEASANT CONDITIONS OVERALL. TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY
WILL BE A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL IN THE UPPER 30S/LOW 40S, WITH
HIGHS GETTING CLOSER TO NORMAL ON SUNDAY, IN THE LOW 40S NORTH AND
UPPER 40S SOUTH. LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS/LOW 20S,
WITH TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY NIGHT REMAINING A FEW DEGREES HIGHER,
WITH A SPREAD OF 20S REGION-WIDE.
A FEW WEAK SHORTWAVES WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND, THOUGH THE
ONLY NOTICEABLE IMPACT WILL BE SOME PERIODS OF CLOUD COVER.
OTHERWISE, SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
OVERALL, THE LONG TERM PERIOD IS RELATIVELY QUIET WITH THE END OF
FEBRUARY LOOKING A BIT WARMER. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED FOR NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
AND UPPER 50S. GUIDANCE REMAINS SPLIT WITH THE UPPER LEVEL FEATURES
IN PLAY FOR NEXT WEEK BUT THE GENERAL THEME IS A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN
WITH A FEW WEAK SYSTEMS SLIDING THROUGH, ONE MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY AND ANOTHER IN THE MIDDLE TO LATE NEXT WEEK. GIVEN THE
WARMER TEMPERATURES, THESE SYSTEMS LIKELY WILL BRING MAINLY RAIN
SHOWERS, THOUGH IF PRECIPITATION MOVES THROUGH OVERNIGHT, A FEW SNOW
FLAKES OR A WINTRY MIX CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
OVERALL THOUGH, NOTHING REALLY IMPACTFUL ON THE HORIZON.
AVIATION /03Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
TONIGHT... SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS THIS EVENING WILL END FROM NW
TO SE AROUND MIDNIGHT. MOSTLY VFR, BUT BRIEF PERIODS OF SUB-VFR
ARE POSSIBLE IN HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS. GUSTY NW WINDS 15 TO 25
KTS OVERNIGHT. HIGH CONFID, EXCEPT WITH LOWEST SNOW SHOWER
CATEGORY.
FRIDAY... VFR EXPECTED. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES MOST SITES BUT SOME
CLOUDS FOR KRDG/KABE POSSIBLE. A SNOW SHOWER FOR FAR NW (KMPO)
POSSIBLE EARLY. GUSTY NW WINDS CONTINUE WITH GUSTS 25 TO 30 KTS
POSSIBLE. MEDIUM/HIGH CONFID.
OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR. NO SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER.
MARINE
THE GALE THAT ORIGINALLY WAS SUPPOSED TO GO UP AT 6PM WILL BE RAISED
WITH THE 4PM CWF ISSUANCE. THESE CONDITIONS CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND
THRU FRIDAY BEHIND THE DEPARTING COASTAL STORM. SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT BEFORE THEY DIMINISH. A CHANCE OF
FREEZING SPRAY TONIGHT. FAIR WEATHER FRIDAY.
OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY NIGHT...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE NEEDED ONCE THE GALE
WARNING EXPIRES AS GUSTS OUT OF THE WEST/NORTHWEST WILL BE AROUND 25-
30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...NO MARINE HEADLINES EXPECTED.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ430-431-450>455.
SYNOPSIS...FITZSIMMONS/HOEFLICH
NEAR TERM...MJL/OHARA
SHORT TERM...FITZSIMMONS
LONG TERM...FITZSIMMONS
AVIATION...FITZSIMMONS/MJL/OHARA
MARINE...FITZSIMMONS/OHARA
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