744
FNUS71 KPHI 021732
FWSPHI
SPOT FORECAST FOR ROUTE 46 FIRE...NJFFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
132 PM EDT FRI MAY 2 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1400 EDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY INTO TONIGHT. FORECAST
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE NEAR 45% WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS
UP TO 20 MPH. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM IS POSSIBLE (30-40%
CHANCE) THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL
RECOVER TO AROUND 90% TONIGHT WITH WINDS BECOMING CALM AND
TEMPERATURES FALLING TO NEAR 60 DEGREES.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE EXPECTED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (108800 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................99 TO 108.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........53 56 59 58
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC
CWR.............10 10 20 30
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 30
TEMP............78 79 79 78
RH..............48 45 45 47
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W
20 FT WIND SPD..12 13 13 12
20 FT WIND GUST.20 22 22 20
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW W
EYE LVL WND SPD.7 8 8 7
EYE LVL WND GST.12 13 13 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.1 6.4 6.8 5.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 23 23 23
ADI.............103 105 108 99
VRATE KT-FT/1K..121 128 135 109
VENTRATE CAT....VGD VGD VGD VGD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
EVENING, THEN INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT
OVERNIGHT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE EXPECTED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 9 MPH
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (78600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (700 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
ADI.................106 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 3 LATE
IN THE NIGHT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........53 49 43 45 51 47 50 47 42 42 42 44
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC
CWR.............30 10 0 10 10 10 10 20 10 10 10 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 10 0 10 10 10 10 20 10 10 10 10
TEMP............77 75 72 70 68 67 66 65 64 62 62 61
RH..............48 52 57 63 68 70 73 78 81 84 87 90
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 6 5 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.18 16 8 7 5 5 6 9 6 5 5 6
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 4 3 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2
EYE LVL WND GST.11 10 5 4 3 3 4 5 4 3 3 4
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.6 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 13 12 9 8 9 9 8 8 7 7 7
ADI.............106 8 8 6 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3
VRATE KT-FT/1K..79 9 3 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...STAARMANN
REQUESTED BY...MM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2512695.0/PHI
.DELDT 05/02/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ERIC.WEBER@DEP.NJ.GOV,CHRISTOPHER.FRANEK@DEP.NJ.GOV,NJFFAIMT@GMAIL.COM
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